Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 10 August 2023, Thursday

Location: De Grolsch Veste (Enschede)

Referee: Schroder R. (Ger)


	Twente		Riga

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	7	Watch
	1.27	5.5	8.75	Watch
	1.25	5.25	11
	1.31	5	9
	1.32	5.28	9.34
	1.28	5.55	10.25	Watch
	1.3	6	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↑ (1.18)	5.37 ↓ (7.5)	9.31 ↓ (14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Twente
72.5%

Draw
17.4%

Riga
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.5%

12.7%

6.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Twente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Twente's form might have worsened.

Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	8.3%	4.2%

Twente - Riga Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 21 - 87.5%). Riga will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 74.3% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Unnerstall L. (G) 12. Sampsted A. 2. Hilgers M. 3. Propper R. (C) 20. Brenet J. 4. Kjolo M. 23. Sadilek M. 11. Rots D. 18. Vlap M. 9. van Wolfswinkel R. 27. Ugalde M.	16. Purins T. N. (G) 21. Musah B. 34. Cernomordijs A. 15. Bosancic P. 25. Muzinga N. 9. Contreras A. 3. Ngom M. 77. Mankenda G. 10. Aurelio D. 8. Jojic M. (C) 18. Regza M.
Substitutes
41. Besselink G. 38. Bruns M. 16. El Maach I. (G) 24. Mesbahi J. 8. Regeer Y. 39. Rots M. 22. Tyton P. (G) 10. Unuvar N.	14. Babec H. 23. Daskevics E. 24. Iberico L. 13. Jurkovskis R. 1. Matrevics R. (G) 93. Nguena K. 30. Pena B. 11. Soisalo M. 19. Taiwo A. 12. Zommers K. (G)
Coaches
Oosting J.	Stipic T.

Preview

1st leg.

Twente in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Riga is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Riga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Twente is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Twente
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Hammarby - Twente	1:1 ET ✺
27.07.23	Twente - Hammarby	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Schalke 04 - Twente	2:2 ✺
15.07.23	OB Odense - Twente	1:7 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
11.06.23	Twente - Sparta Rotterdam	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWTWW
- Riga FC
Latvian Virsliga
06.08.23	Super Nova - Riga	1:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Riga - Kecskemeti	3:1 ET ✺
Latvian Virsliga
30.07.23	Riga - BFC Daugavpils	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Kecskemeti - Riga	2:1 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
23.07.23	Tukums 2000 - Riga	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLW

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