Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 33

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: De Grolsch Veste (Enschede)

Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)


	Twente		Sparta Rotterdam

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	8	Watch
	1.39	5.25	7
	1.37	4.95	8.3
	1.38	5.5	7.37
	1.37	5.3	7.31	Watch
	1.36	4.8	7
	1.36	5.56	7.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.36)	5.19 ↓ (5.46)	7.53 ↑ (7.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Twente
69.2%

Draw
18.2%

Sparta Rotterdam
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

17.3%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

16.6%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Twente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	6.2%	0%

Twente - Sparta Rotterdam Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Twente (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Twente will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tyton P. (G) 28. van Rooij B. (C) 23. Lemkin S. 43. Nijstad R. 39. Rots M. 6. Zerrouki R. 20. van den Belt T. 11. Rots D. 14. Hlynsson K. 27. Orjasaeter S. 10. Lammers S.	1. Drommel J. (G) 2. Sambo S. 3. Young M. 4. Martins Indi B. (C) 5. Quintero T. 8. Santos A. 6. Kitolano J. 7. van Bergen M. 10. van Crooij V. 11. Mito S. 9. Lauritsen T.
Substitutes
8. Booth T. 38. Bruns M. 31. Gerritsen Y. (G) 21. Karssies S. (G) 4. Kjolo M. 12. Peixoto G. 7. Pjaca M. 3. Propper R. 9. van Wolfswinkel R. 25. Vennegoor of Hesselink L. 32. Verschueren A. 42. Weidmann D.	16. Baas J. 20. Bednarek F. (G) 17. Clement P. 13. de Guzman J. 12. Martes L. 21. Roaldsoy A. 30. Suur R. (G) 22. Terho C. 18. Toornstra J. 15. van Aanholt P. 14. Vianello G. 19. Zonneveld M.
Coaches
van den Brom J.	Steijn M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Young M. 🟨,
19', van Bergen M. ↓, Terho C. ↑,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, van den Belt T. ⚽, van Rooij B. (A),
59', 2 - 0, van den Belt T. ⚽,
70', Martins Indi B. 🟨,
71', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Pjaca M. ↑,
71', 3 - 0, Hlynsson K. ⚽,
72', Sambo S. ↓, Clement P. ↑,
72', Kitolano J. ↓, Zonneveld M. ↑,
78', 4 - 0, Rots D. ⚽, Rots M. (A),
79', van den Belt T. ↓, Weidmann D. ↑,
79', Rots D. ↓, van Wolfswinkel R. ↑,
80', Santos A. ↓, Roaldsoy A. ↑,
80', Lauritsen T. ↓, Toornstra J. ↑,
88', Rots M. ↓, Propper R. ↑,
88', Hlynsson K. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 3.

Twente is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sparta Rotterdam has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Twente is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Twente: Hilgers M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: Kleijn M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Sparta Rotterdam: Lauritsen T. (Injury)

We predict that Twente will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Twente won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:18. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Twente won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Twente: 3.93% Sparta Rotterdam: 0.15%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Twente	8	5	2	1	16:8	8	17
12	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	3	4	13:20	-7	6

Last Results with these Odds

Twente - the odds 1.36 are the expected chance of winning is 69.45%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Twente
Dutch Eredivisie
03.05.26	AZ Alkmaar - Twente	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Twente - NEC Nijmegen	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Twente - Volendam	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Ajax - Twente	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Fortuna Sittard - Twente	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTWWW
- Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
03.05.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Go Ahead Eagles	2:2 ✺
22.04.26	Telstar - Sparta Rotterdam	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sparta Rotterdam - PSV Eindhoven	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	NAC Breda - Sparta Rotterdam	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Volendam	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
19.09.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Twente	1:5
04.05.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Twente	0:2
17.08.24	Twente - Sparta Rotterdam	1:1
09.03.24	Twente - Sparta Rotterdam	2:1
17.12.23	Sparta Rotterdam - Twente	2:2
11.06.23	Twente - Sparta Rotterdam	1:0
08.06.23	Sparta Rotterdam - Twente	1:1

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