Match Info

FNL - Round 32

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Geolog Stadium (Tyumen)

Referee: Golovko B. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV


	Tyumen		Chayka Peschanokopskoye

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.28	4.8
	1.83	3.26	4.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.22)	3.27 ↑ (3.08)	4.72 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tyumen
51.1%

Draw
28.9%

Chayka Peschanokopskoye
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

30.6%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

30.5%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tyumen's performance.

Chayka Peschanokopskoye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chayka Peschanokopskoye might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tyumen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chayka Peschanokopskoye than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chayka Peschanokopskoye could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Tyumen - Chayka Peschanokopskoye Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tyumen will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Peschanokopskoye will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tyumen will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dovgal A. (G) 6. Pechenkin N. 34. Khramtsov M. 23. Korotkov A. 40. Bezchasnyuk A. 13. Petrov M. 30. Shavlokhov D. 24. Korotaev A. (C) 5. Poroykov S. 85. Pyatkin I. 65. Gulko I.	73. Shtepa M. (G) 2. Pelikh D. 99. Evdokimov A. 4. Ibragimov K. 44. Karmaev N. 10. Malyarov N. 18. Nikolaev O. 17. Bammatgereev M. 7. Khokhlachev A. (C) 77. Zarypbekov E. 20. Biblyk S.
Substitutes
72. Bem A. 16. Ergardt V. (G) 97. Goshev E. (G) 18. Grigorjev D. 90. Mokaev I. 10. Savinov A. 14. Shukurov A. 8. Talalay D. 31. Tkachuk D. 36. Voropaev A.	78. Chernyakov D. 98. Khodanovich A. (G) 9. Kozachenko O. 19. Rudenko V. 97. Torop M.
Coaches
Menshchikov I.	Pervushin S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Gulko I. ⚽,
45', Karmaev N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Bammatgereev M. ↓, Rudenko V. ↑,
58', Khramtsov M. ↓, Tkachuk D. ↑,
71', Poroykov S. ↓, Bem A. ↑,
71', Gulko I. ↓, Savinov A. ↑,
76', Pelikh D. ↓, Kozachenko O. ↑,
84', Zarypbekov E. ↓, Chernyakov D. ↑,
90', Korotaev A. ↓, Talalay D. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Karmaev N. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Tyumen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Peschanokopskoye's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tyumen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tyumen is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tyumen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tyumen
Russian FNL
04.05.25	Sokol Saratov - Tyumen	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Tyumen - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Rotor - Tyumen	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Tyumen - Shinnik	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Tyumen - Ufa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLWT
- Chayka Peschanokopskoye
Russian FNL
03.05.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:3 ✺
26.04.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Sochi	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Torpedo Moscow	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
03.11.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Tyumen	3:0

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