Match Info

FNL - Round 9

Date: 8 September 2025, Monday

Location: Yekaterinburg Arena (Yekaterinburg)

Referee: Novikov N. (Rus)


	Ural		Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.65	9.75
	1.34	4.43	10.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.4)	4.54 ↑ (4.31)	10.08 ↑ (8.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ural
69.8%

Draw
20.8%

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

21.8%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

20.6%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ural has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Ural - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ural will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Neftekhimik will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ural: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ural (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Ural (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ural (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Selikhov A. (G) 46. Mamin A. 34. Margasov T. 16. Italo 2. Begic S. (C) 13. Akbashev R. 6. Sungatulin F. 97. Ishkov I. 42. Mosin E. 22. Leo Cordeiro 10. Sekulic M.	51. Kashintsev T. (G) 75. Shadrintsev D. 65. Tolstopyatov N. (C) 12. Shiryaev M. 17. Valiakhmetov E. 10. Kokoev D. 6. Rodin D. 7. Dzhamilov S. 11. Sukhomlinov D. 15. Nikitin A. 9. Magomedov R.
Substitutes
5. Ayupov T. 7. Kashtanov A. 59. Kharin E. 83. Khaynetskiy R. 74. Kiselev D. 71. Mamin A. (G) 20. Markov E. 18. Morozov N. 76. Nem V. 1. Oparin M. (G) 31. Sergeev M. M.	27. Budylin A. 97. Filipovskiy M. 1. Golubev A. (G) 8. Kantaria G. 14. Mashukov I. 23. Mikhaylov D. 90. Shiltsov K. 2. Sitdikov M.
Coaches
Romashchenko M.	Novikov K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Akbashev R. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Tolstopyatov N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Margasov T. 🟨,
52', Nikitin A. ↓, Sitdikov M. ↑,
64', Rodin D. ↓, Kantaria G. ↑,
65', Kokoev D. ↓, Shiltsov K. ↑,
67', Kantaria G. 🟨,
68', Sungatulin F. ↓, Morozov N. ↑,
68', Mosin E. ↓, Markov E. ↑,
75', Shadrintsev D. 🟨,
80', Leo Cordeiro 🟨,
82', Italo ↓, Kharin E. ↑,
84', Ishkov I. ↓, Sergeev M. M. ↑,
88', Sekulic M. ↓, Kashtanov A. ↑,
90', Dzhamilov S. ↓, Mikhaylov D. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 14).

Ural is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Neftekhimik has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ural may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ural is the obvious favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ural won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 2.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ural won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Ural
Russian FNL
04.09.25	Spartak Kostroma - Ural	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Ural - Fakel	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Ural - Volga Ulyanovsk	4:0 ✺
18.08.25	Torpedo Moscow - Ural	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Ural	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWWLW
- FC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Russian FNL
03.09.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rodina Moscow	1:5 ✺
30.08.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chelyabinsk	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Fakel - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - KAMAZ	1:3 ✺
10.08.25	Shinnik - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
11.04.25	Ural - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:2
24.08.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Ural	1:1
Russian Cup
25.09.18	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Ural	2:3
Russian FNL
13.05.13	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Ural	2:2
14.10.12	Ural - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:0

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