Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 16

Date: 1 June 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Bellavista (Ambato)

Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Técnico Universitario		Barcelona Guayaquil

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.25	Watch
	2.92	3.05	2.38	Watch
	3.1	3.26	2.41
	2.85	3.11	2.55	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.25
	3.04	3.14	2.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.16)	3.09 ↑ (2.96)	2.37 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Técnico Universitario
31%

Draw
29.9%

Barcelona Guayaquil
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

30.8%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

29.6%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Técnico Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Técnico Universitario - Barcelona Guayaquil Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Morales A. (G) 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 53. Chilla R. 13. Anaya J. 85. Arce Y. 7. Estupinan L. (C) 70. Castano M. 10. Johan Bocanegra 33. Majao J. 90. Caicedo W. 25. Delgado B.	1. Contreras J. (C) 27. Vargas W. 33. Baez J. 3. Sosa L. 15. Perlaza J. 8. Celiz M. 32. Lugo M. 70. Mejia M. 23. Martinez T. 16. Cano L. 80. Nunez S.
Substitutes
30. Arce K. 11. Arteaga C. 16. Caicedo J. 67. Carrasco Bonilla M. A. 19. Castillo A. 27. Copete A. 9. Fernandez L. 17. Montes J. 1. Razzeto S. (G)	63. Caidedo K. 18. Carabali B. 26. Castillo B. 22. Cevallos J. (G) 7. Gomez J. 5. Montano C. 11. Parrales M. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 14. Rangel A. 4. Vallecilla G. 21. Villalba H. 51. Wila J.
Coaches
Usucar F.	Farias Acosta C. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Johan Bocanegra 🟥,
10', 1 - 0, Delgado B. ⚽,
45+3', Vargas W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vargas W. ↓, Carabali B. ↑,
46', Celiz M. ↓, Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↑,
62', Martinez T. ↓, Wila J. ↑,
65', Caicedo W. ↓, Montes J. ↑,
65', Delgado B. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
65', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 🟨,
67', Mejia M. ↓, Villalba H. ↑,
71', Estupinan L. 🟨,
72', Estupinan L. ↓, Arteaga C. ↑,
79', Perlaza J. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
84', Majao J. ↓, Copete A. ↑,
89', Morales A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Barcelona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Barcelona has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 12:33. (average 0.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Técnico Univ won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 0.9:1.9).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	32:25	7	44

Last Results with these Odds

Técnico Universitario - the odds 3.16 are the expected chance of winning is 28.86%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Técnico Universitario
Ecuadorian Copa
29.05.26	Juventud Italiana - Técnico Universitario	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
24.05.26	Técnico Universitario - Leones del Norte	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	LDU Quito - Técnico Universitario	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Técnico Universitario - Delfín	4:0 ✺
02.05.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Técnico Universitario	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWL
- Barcelona Guayaquil
Copa Libertadores
28.05.26	Cruzeiro - Barcelona Guayaquil	4:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
24.05.26	Delfín - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
21.05.26	Universidad Católica - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
16.05.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - SD Aucas	3:0 ✺
09.05.26	Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.02.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Técnico Universitario	1:0
12.07.25	Barcelona Guayaquil - Técnico Universitario	1:1
17.03.25	Técnico Universitario - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:1
23.11.24	Técnico Universitario - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:2
25.05.24	Barcelona Guayaquil - Técnico Universitario	3:0
01.10.23	Barcelona Guayaquil - Técnico Universitario	1:0
29.04.23	Técnico Universitario - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:2

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