Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 15

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Bellavista (Ambato)

Referee: Araujo G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Técnico Universitario		Leones del Norte

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.2	4.33	Watch
	1.85	3	4
	1.9	3.15	4.05	Watch
	1.94	3.25	4.75
	1.93	3.05	4.61	Watch
	1.85	2.9	3.9
	1.88	3.22	4.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.77)	3.11 ↓ (3.3)	4.29 ↓ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Técnico Universitario
48.9%

Draw
29.7%

Leones del Norte
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

28.3%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

28.8%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Técnico Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Leones del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Técnico Universitario - Leones del Norte Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Técnico Univ will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Leones del Norte will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Morales A. (G) 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 13. Anaya J. (C) 33. Majao J. 85. Arce Y. 10. Johan Bocanegra 53. Chilla R. 70. Castano M. 16. Caicedo J. 9. Fernandez L. 25. Delgado B.	45. Nazareno L. (G) 2. Moran J. 23. Monserrat N. 25. Kreiman B. 4. Arroyo R. 5. Coppo T. 8. Velez C. 34. Portocarrero S. 99. Solano C. 40. Anangono J. (C) 6. Griffa E.
Substitutes
30. Arce K. 11. Arteaga C. 67. Carrasco Bonilla M. A. 19. Castillo A. 15. Castillo F. 27. Copete A. 7. Estupinan L. 77. Garcia C. 17. Montes J. 1. Razzeto S. (G) 6. Torres Nazareno L. B. 21. Velastegui A.	32. Aguas A. 24. Angulo J. L. (G) 55. Borja R. 13. Cabeza J. 27. Caicedo Nestor 11. Caramuto M. 16. De La Cruz M. 10. Mansilla A. 44. Mina K. 70. Pazmino D. 19. Pepinos E. 3. Vargas F.
Coaches
Usucar F.	Mendez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Chilla R. 🟨,
10', Kreiman B. 🟨,
11', Delgado B. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Castano M. (Penalty Awarded),
39', Majao J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kreiman B. ↓, Pazmino D. ↑,
46', Portocarrero S. ↓, De La Cruz M. ↑,
46', Coppo T. ↓, Borja R. ↑,
46', Griffa E. ↓, Caicedo Nestor ↑,
58', Solano C. ↓, Pepinos E. ↑,
59', Fernandez L. ↓, Montes J. ↑,
59', Mesa Mercado E. E. ↓, Arteaga C. ↑,
69', Majao J. ↓, Torres Nazareno L. B. ↑,
78', Johan Bocanegra ↓, Estupinan L. ↑,
78', Chilla R. ↓, Copete A. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Caicedo Nestor ⚽, Arroyo R. (A),
90+6', 2 - 1, Nazareno L. (Own goal),

Preview

Técnico Univ has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Leones del Norte has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Leones del Norte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Técnico Univ is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Técnico Universitario
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.05.26	LDU Quito - Técnico Universitario	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Técnico Universitario - Delfín	4:0 ✺
02.05.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Técnico Universitario	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Guayaquil City - Técnico Universitario	1:0 ✺
21.04.26	Técnico Universitario - Emelec	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLLL
- Leones del Norte
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.05.26	Leones del Norte - Mushuc Runa	3:1 ✺
08.05.26	Orense - Leones del Norte	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Leones del Norte - Emelec	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Independiente del Valle - Leones del Norte	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Leones del Norte - Manta	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWLW

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