The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad Católica 53.5%
Draw 27.3%
Barcelona Guayaquil 19.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.1%
27.5%
22.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.3%
26.9%
21.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.9%
7.7%
15.4%
Universidad Católica - Barcelona Guayaquil Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Barcelona will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 54% – 99.8%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bernedo V. (G) 6. Arancibia S. 19. Ampuero B. 2. Gonzalez D. 3. Mena E. 20. Valencia J. 11. Montes C. 8. Zuqui F. 14. Martinez J. A. 7. Giani J. 9. Zampedri F. (C)
1. Contreras J. (G) 18. Carabali B. 33. Baez J. 44. Chala Rosales W. J. 4. Vallecilla G. 35. Intriago J. 32. Lugo M. 26. Castillo B. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. (C) 12. Mina J. 9. Benedetto D.
Substitutes
13. Canales A. 46. Carcamo V. 28. Cerezo B. 25. Corral D. 15. Cuevas C. 5. Farias A. 22. Gomez M. 36. Gonzalez B. 39. L’Huillier N. 27. Melo D. (G) 10. Palavecino M. 18. Rossel J.
22. Cevallos J. (G) 23. Martinez T. 70. Mejia M. 5. Montano C. 80. Nunez S. 11. Parrales M. 15. Perlaza J. 25. Perlaza R. 3. Sosa L. 27. Vargas W. 21. Villalba H. 51. Wila J.
Coaches
Garnero D.
Farias Acosta C. A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Chala Rosales W. J. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Intriago J. ↓, Perlaza J. ↑,
46', Mina J. ↓, Sosa L. ↑,
63', Benedetto D. ↓, Nunez S. ↑,
63', Castillo B. ↓, Villalba H. ↑,
72', Contreras J. 🟨,
75', Zuqui F. ↓, Palavecino M. ↑,
75', Giani J. ↓, Rossel J. ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Zampedri F. ⚽, Palavecino M. (A),
79', Vallecilla G. 🟨,
81', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↓, Montano C. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Zampedri F. ⚽, Montes C. (A),
87', Zampedri F. ↓, Farias A. ↑,
87', Valencia J. ↓, Cuevas C. ↑,
89', Nunez S. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 3.
Uni Católica is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Barcelona's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Barcelona has had a series of home games.
In this match, Uni Católica is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Uni Católica: Asta-Buruaga T.
(Inactive)
Perez I.
(Inactive)
Sekgota J.
(Inactive)
Valencia D.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Barcelona: Celiz M.
(Red Card)
Rangel A.
(Yellow Cards)
Rojas J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Uni Católica: L’Huillier N.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).
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Bernedo V. (G) 
Valencia J. 
Zuqui F. 
Contreras J. (G) 
Carabali B. 
Baez J. 
Nunez S. 
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