Match Info

Liga Pro - Relegation Group - Round 4

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Bellavista (Ambato)

Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Técnico Universitario		Vinotinto

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.05	4.33	Watch
	1.98	3.1	3.8	Watch
	1.97	3.28	4.16
	1.97	3.35	3.59	Watch
	1.93	3.12	4.36	Watch
	1.96	3.33	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (1.97)	3.21 ↓ (3.35)	3.97 ↑ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Técnico Universitario
47.7%

Draw
28.9%

Vinotinto
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

27.5%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

26.5%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Técnico Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Técnico Universitario - Vinotinto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Villafuerte J. (G) 17. Patta E. (C) 31. Carcelen Ed. 26. Medranda M. 23. Herrera O. 70. Torres E. 5. Cristobal R. 77. Vera D. 21. Jimenez J. 27. Minda T. 28. Perea M.	12. Santos M. (G) 23. Gomez L. 4. Aguirre A. 26. Hernandez E. 11. Mina A. 6. Ona C. 7. Lugo J. 18. Ushina K. 8. Melo A. 77. Ibarra R. (C) 17. Monti R.
Substitutes
10. Andrade J. 9. Blanco J. 11. Carabali E. 33. Chala R. 19. Corozo B. 30. Cuero Fabian 36. Perez M. 3. Ponguillo J. 1. Yustiz Y. (G)	13. Carrasco Bonilla M. A. 5. Coba K. 2. Iriarte I. 30. Julio M. 15. Larotonda C. 10. Luna D. 40. Mera F. 3. Micolta C. 25. Mitre L. (G) 36. Nardelli G. 22. Rodriguez E. 52. Rodriguez J.
Coaches
Cumbicus G.	Schurrer G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Monti R. ⚽, Gomez L. (A),
32', Perea M. ↓, Blanco J. ↑,
35', 1 - 1, Vera D. ⚽, Cristobal R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', Minda T. ↓, Andrade J. ↑,
71', Torres E. ↓, Corozo B. ↑,
75', Lugo J. ↓, Luna D. ↑,
83', Ushina K. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
83', Melo A. ↓, Julio M. ↑,
83', Vera D. ↓, Carabali E. ↑,
83', Cristobal R. ↓, Cuero Fabian ↑,
90+2', Ibarra R. ↓, Coba K. ↑,
90+3', Carcelen Ed. 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Vinotinto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Técnico Univ might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Técnico Univ won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Técnico Universitario
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.11.25	Técnico Universitario - Mushuc Runa	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Vinotinto - Técnico Universitario	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Manta - Técnico Universitario	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Técnico Universitario - LDU Quito	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	Delfín - Técnico Universitario	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWLLW
- Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.11.25	Vinotinto - Manta	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Vinotinto - Técnico Universitario	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Mushuc Runa - Vinotinto	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Libertad Loja - Vinotinto	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Vinotinto - Manta	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.10.25	Vinotinto - Técnico Universitario	1:2
10.08.25	Vinotinto - Técnico Universitario	0:1
20.04.25	Técnico Universitario - Vinotinto	1:3

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