The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UAI Urquiza 54.5%
Draw 28.1%
Fénix 17.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.5%
26.3%
19.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.8%
25.7%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for UAI Urquiza have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Fénix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fénix than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
UAI Urquiza - Fénix Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Viain I. (G) 2. Rodriguez V. 3. Ferrara J. 4. Menendez N. (C) 6. Postel F. 5. Matlis V. 7. Madero P. 11. Arcuri L. 8. Ingratti J. 9. Brito M. 10. Vazquez A.
1. Parra V. (G) 2. Ferro G. 6. Acosta M. 3. Rodriguez J. 4. Bembo J. 8. Rizzo F. 5. Diaz F. 10. Perez P. 11. Silva D. 7. Perez F. 9. Vivas J.
Substitutes
12. Bottini A. (G) 20. Caceres P. 19. Galli E. 16. Galli F. 18. Naranjo W. 13. Natale F. 14. Piccinetti S. 15. Rios N. 17. Sciacqua S.
15. Alric F. 19. Anriquez D. 18. Breccia R. 12. Cordero R. (G) 14. Martin Pereyra S. 17. Mayor J. 20. Meridione A. 13. Rojas I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Brito M. ⚽,
45+1', Ferro G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rizzo F. ↓, Arreguin E. ↑,
65', Acosta M. 🟨,
67', Ferro G. ↓, Rojas I. ↑,
71', Brito M. ↓, Sciacqua S. ↑,
71', Vazquez A. ↓, Caceres P. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Perez P. ⚽,
75', Vivas J. ↓, Mayor J. ↑,
75', Silva D. ↓, Meridione A. ↑,
82', Matlis V. ↓, Galli E. ↑,
86', Madero P. ↓, Galli F. ↑,
89', Meridione A. 🟨,
90', Bembo J. 🟨,
90+1', Galli E. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UAI Urquiza won 1.
UAI Urquiza is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Fénix has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
UAI Urquiza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, UAI Urquiza is a strong favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, UAI Urquiza won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, UAI Urquiza won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).