Match Info

Primera B - Round 40

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Juan Antonio Arias Stadium (Buenos Aires) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	11:00	LPF Play


	Liniers		UAI Urquiza

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.90	3.00
	2.23	2.75	3.15
	2.49	2.92	2.99
	2.36	2.75	3.28	Watch
	2.45	2.75	2.95
	2.31	3.08	2.98
	2.27	2.75	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.12)	2.84 ↓ (2.9)	3.07 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liniers
38.7%

Draw
31.8%

UAI Urquiza
29.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.6%

30.4%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

29.2%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liniers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

UAI Urquiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liniers than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Liniers - UAI Urquiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rotundo M. (G) 6. Canosa J. 4. Di Motta R. 3. Fiordeliso M. 10. Gallegos E. 11. Mackay G. 9. Moreno F. 7. Palacio S. 8. Penoni A. 2. Rodon F. 5. Roth J.	1. Viain I. (G) 4. Albano V. 5. Arcuri L. 10. Asprea T. 7. Galli F. 8. Ibanez E. (C) 9. Mesa F. 11. Pesse V. 6. Postel F. 3. Prado F. 2. Rodriguez V.
Substitutes
18. Camejo F. 17. Camejo J. 12. De Feliche C. (G) 13. Formichelli S. 14. Pereyra E. 20. Rodriguez C. 19. Sallaberry I. 15. Tejada U. 16. Tonet J.	13. Caceres A. 14. Ciancio V. 20. Diaz E. 15. Menendez N. 19. Polizotto M. 16. Rios N. 12. Rolon J. (G) 17. Scacchi S. 18. Scarcella R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Asprea T. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Arcuri L. ↓, Rios N. ↑,
57', Ibanez E. ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
67', Galli F. ↓, Scarcella R. ↑,
71', Gallegos E. ↓, Tonet J. ↑,
77', Mackay G. ↓, Camejo J. ↑,
78', Camejo J. 🟨,
80', Mesa F. ↓, Polizotto M. ↑,
87', Penoni A. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
87', Moreno F. ↓, Pereyra E. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 1, Canosa J. (Own goal),

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 14th and 21st in the Relegation - Primera C (Apertura: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liniers won 2.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Liniers has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:5 (averaging 1.2:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Liniers against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:2 goals (averaging 1.3:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Liniers	41	10	15	16	34:43	-9	45
21	UAI Urquiza	41	7	21	13	25:36	-11	42

Last Results with these Odds

UAI Urquiza - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 28%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Liniers
Argentinian Primera B
10.10.26	Villa Dálmine - Liniers	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Liniers - Excursionistas	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Liniers	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Liniers - Argentino de Merlo	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Liniers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 TWLLW
- UAI Urquiza
Argentinian Primera B
12.10.26	UAI Urquiza - Real Pilar	1:0 ✺
05.10.26	UAI Urquiza - Ituzaingó	3:2 ✺
27.09.26	Villa Dálmine - UAI Urquiza	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	UAI Urquiza - Excursionistas	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Arsenal Sarandí - UAI Urquiza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
08.06.26	UAI Urquiza - Liniers	2:1
09.11.25	UAI Urquiza - Liniers	0:1
14.06.25	Liniers - UAI Urquiza	0:1
27.10.24	Liniers - UAI Urquiza	3:0
08.06.24	UAI Urquiza - Liniers	1:1

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