Match Info

Date: 10 September 2021, Friday


	UCAM Murcia		Real Madrid Castilla

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	3.1
	2.2	3	3
	2.25	3.2	3
	2.25	3	3
	2.39	3.06	3.13
	2.32	3.15	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.26)	3.1 ↓ (3.11)	3.04 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
40.3%

Draw
29.6%

Real Madrid Castilla
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28.9%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

20.7%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UCAM Murcia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid Castilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

UCAM Murcia - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

UCAM Murcia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches UCAM Murcia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams UCAM Murcia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.09.21	Betis B - UCAM Murcia	1:0 ✺
29.08.21	UCAM Murcia - Badalona Futur	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.21	Águilas - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
18.08.21	UCAM Murcia - El Ejido	1:0 ✺
14.08.21	Hércules - UCAM Murcia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWTWT
- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.09.21	Real Madrid Castilla - San Fernando	4:0 ✺
29.08.21	Linense - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
18.08.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
15.08.21	Deportivo A Coruña - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF Promotion Play Offs
30.05.16	Real Madrid Castilla - UCAM Murcia	2:2
22.05.16	UCAM Murcia - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1

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