Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 17

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	UCSA		Vorskla Poltava

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.78	2.72
	2.51	3.02	2.80	Watch
	2.7	2.73	2.68
	2.66	2.71	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.67)	2.81 ↓ (3.09)	2.73 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCSA
34.2%

Draw
32.4%

Vorskla Poltava
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

29.9%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

28.7%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCSA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Vorskla Poltava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCSA than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vorskla Poltava than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

UCSA - Vorskla Poltava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barantsov K. (G) 73. Castro P. 98. Guerreiro V. 8. Kireev A. 18. Lebedev S. 17. Pedro Acacio 81. Popravka Y. 3. Sydorenko D. 7. Sytnykov M. 5. Yevdokymov A. (C) 28. Zhdanovych O.	1. Lavuta K. (G) 11. Baydal A. 9. Burenko M. 14. Chibueze P. 21. Dvorovenko V. 97. Korablin T. 22. Potskhveria I. 5. Prikhna D. (C) 32. Romanenko D. 23. Shershen M. 7. Voytsekhovskyi V.
Substitutes
36. Amilakhanov T. 41. Icaro 77. Khovayko K. 99. Kovalev A. (G) 21. Matheus Fogo 10. Matheusinho 12. Postemskyi O. (G) 89. Synyogub O. 78. Wendell 14. Zakhidnyi P. 19. Zherebetskyi M.	20. Andrushchenko M. 29. Chervak V. 77. Chidomere A. 2. Dmytruk T. 52. Krokhmal N. 99. Serdyuk A. 31. Vasetskyi B. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Burenko M. ↓, Andrushchenko M. ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Pedro Acacio ⚽,
58', Romanenko D. ↓, Dmytruk T. ↑,
58', Potskhveria I. ↓, Chidomere A. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Voytsekhovskyi V. ⚽,
66', Lebedev S. ↓, Synyogub O. ↑,
67', Yevdokymov A. 🟨,
76', Kireev A. 🟨,
78', Baydal A. ↓, Serdyuk A. ↑,
88', Zhdanovych O. 🟨,
90', Voytsekhovskyi V. ↓, Krokhmal N. ↑,
90+2', Krokhmal N. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 9).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, UCSA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Vorskla Poltava - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.57%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCSA Kyiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
15.11.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - UCSA	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Nyva Ternopil - UCSA	1:4 ✺
01.11.25	UCSA - Metalist Kharkiv	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - UCSA	4:1 ✺
20.10.25	UCSA - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWLL
- Vorskla Poltava
Ukrainian Persha Liga
16.11.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Vorskla Poltava	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Vorskla Poltava	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Vorskla Poltava - Nyva Ternopil	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Vorskla Poltava	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Vorskla Poltava - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
08.08.25	Vorskla Poltava - UCSA	3:0

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