Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 16

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Kolos Stadium (Kovalivka)


	Feniks-Mariupol		Vorskla Poltava

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.98	2.28
	2.74	2.77	2.54
	3.12	3.19	2.21	Watch
	2.75	2.78	2.57
	3.14	3.12	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.14)	2.97 ↓ (3.12)	2.35 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Feniks-Mariupol
30.5%

Draw
30.7%

Vorskla Poltava
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

29.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

28.6%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Feniks-Mariupol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Vorskla Poltava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feniks-Mariupol than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vorskla Poltava than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Feniks Mariupol - Vorskla Poltava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zhupanskyi V. (G) 39. Balan D. 90. Bogdanov A. (C) 10. Gagun R. 25. Gorin V. 44. Koreshkov V. 77. Kovalyuk R. 84. Kusyi A. 29. Remenyak A. 33. Sydorenko V. 91. Zaloga M.	1. Lavuta K. (G) 11. Baydal A. 14. Chibueze P. 77. Chidomere A. 2. Dmytruk T. 21. Dvorovenko V. 97. Korablin T. 17. Semotyuk V. (C) 99. Serdyuk A. 23. Shershen M. 7. Voytsekhovskyi V.
Substitutes
14. Bilyi R. 4. Boldenkov V. 11. Buryak R. 66. Melnyk O. 7. Nepeypiev R. 20. Orobets I. 8. Panchyshyn O. 16. Radchenko M. 13. Rogachov N. 21. Tkachuk A. 19. Vilkhovyi A. 55. Zadereyko A. (G)	47. Baginskyi N. A. 9. Burenko M. 52. Krokhmal N. 22. Potskhveria I. 43. Romanets E. 8. Tatarkov M. 31. Vasetskyi B. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Korablin T. 🟨,
37', Bogdanov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Remenyak A. ⚽,
54', Semotyuk V. ↓, Tatarkov M. ↑,
54', Baydal A. ↓, Burenko M. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Remenyak A. ⚽,
67', Chidomere A. ↓, Potskhveria I. ↑,
67', Serdyuk A. ↓, Krokhmal N. ↑,
70', Kovalyuk R. ↓, Nepeypiev R. ↑,
70', Zaloga M. ↓, Panchyshyn O. ↑,
70', Bogdanov A. ↓, Vilkhovyi A. ↑,
81', Remenyak A. ↓, Buryak R. ↑,
90+2', Gagun R. ↓, Radchenko M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation) and 9).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Feniks-Mariupol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vorskla is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Feniks-Mariupol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Feniks-Mariupol
Ukrainian Persha Liga
08.11.25	Viktoriya Sumy - Feniks-Mariupol	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
30.10.25	Ahrotekh Tyshkivka - Feniks-Mariupol	1:2 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
25.10.25	Probiy Horodenka - Feniks-Mariupol	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Nyva Ternopil	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLWTL
- Vorskla Poltava
Ukrainian Persha Liga
09.11.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Vorskla Poltava	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Vorskla Poltava - Nyva Ternopil	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Vorskla Poltava	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Vorskla Poltava - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Vorskla Poltava	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
02.08.25	Vorskla Poltava - Feniks-Mariupol	2:1

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