Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 15

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Sport Complex Podillia (Khmelnytskyi)


	Podillya Khmelnytskyi		Vorskla Poltava

	1	X	2
	3.65	2.98	2.08
	3.56	3.01	2.02
	3.89	3.40	1.85	Watch
	3.63	3	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↓ (4.27)	3.1 ↓ (3.34)	2 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podillya Khmelnytskyi
24.8%

Draw
29.5%

Vorskla Poltava
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

27.3%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

26.3%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podillya Khmelnytskyi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Vorskla Poltava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vorskla Poltava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podillya Khmelnytskyi than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vorskla Poltava than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vorskla Poltava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Vorskla Poltava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Yurchuk V. (G) 18. Azizov D. 88. Baran R. 10. Kulish M. 7. Kvasov Y. 5. Lys N. 20. Nikolyshyn O. 21. Rudyuk V. 35. Savin A. (C) 19. Shkinder V. 77. Snizhko O.	1. Lavuta K. (G) 20. Andrushchenko M. 9. Burenko M. 29. Chervak V. 14. Chibueze P. 77. Chidomere A. 2. Dmytruk T. 5. Prikhna D. (C) 23. Shershen M. 8. Tatarkov M. 7. Voytsekhovskyi V.
Substitutes
9. Gemega V. 99. Kondratyuk J. (G) 17. Kozyrenko Y. 98. Ponomarenko I. (G) 13. Profatilo Y. 6. Serafimov O. 23. Shavrin V. 11. Sitalo A.	11. Baydal A. 21. Dvorovenko V. 97. Korablin T. 32. Romanenko D. 17. Semotyuk V. 99. Serdyuk A. 31. Vasetskyi B. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
77', 0 - 1, Semotyuk V. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 1, Shkinder V. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga and 8).

Recent performances by Podillya have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vorskla's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vorskla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vorskla is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Ukrainian Persha Liga
04.11.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	0:1 ✺
24.10.25	Nyva Ternopil - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Metalist Kharkiv	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWLLL
- Vorskla Poltava
Ukrainian Persha Liga
02.11.25	Vorskla Poltava - Nyva Ternopil	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Vorskla Poltava	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Vorskla Poltava - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Vorskla Poltava	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Vorskla Poltava - Chernihiv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTLLL

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