Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 37

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday


	UD Logroñés		Numancia

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.3	1.83
	3.75	3.1	1.87
	3.8	3.3	1.85
	3.89	3.37	1.94
	3.92	3.25	1.95
	3.65	3.3	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (2.59)	3.27 ↑ (2.94)	1.89 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Logroñés
24%

Draw
27.9%

Numancia
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

31.2%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

30.3%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UD Logroñés's form might have worsened.

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Numancia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UD Logroñés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Numancia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

UD Logroñés - Numancia Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Logroñés will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Numancia will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Numancia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Logroñés won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Logroñés won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Logroñés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.05.23	Real Sociedad B - UD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
07.05.23	UD Logroñés - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1 ✺
29.04.23	UD Logroñés - Eldense	0:0 ✺
23.04.23	Amorebieta - UD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	UD Logroñés - Real Unión de Irun	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLTLW
- CD Numancia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.05.23	Numancia - Eldense	0:0 ✺
04.05.23	Osasuna B - Numancia	2:1 ✺
30.04.23	Numancia - SD Logroñés	1:3 ✺
22.04.23	Intercity - Numancia	1:1 ✺
16.04.23	Athletic Bilbao B - Numancia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.12.22	Numancia - UD Logroñés	1:0
Club Friendly
03.08.19	Numancia - UD Logroñés	2:1
08.08.18	UD Logroñés - Numancia	1:0
14.08.15	Numancia - UD Logroñés	1:1

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