Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/32-finals

Date: 4 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Las Gaunas (Logroño)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Mexico	Sky Sport
Portugal	Sport TV5
Spain	M+ LaLiga TV
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
Usa	ESPN+


	UD Logroñés		Girona

	1	X	2
	8	5	1.36	Watch
	8	5.25	1.36
	8.5	4.75	1.33	Watch
	7.66	4.83	1.35
	7.93	4.96	1.36	Watch
	8	4.75	1.3
	8.8	5	1.36	Watch
	8.5	4.75	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.17 ↓ (8.54)	4.91 ↑ (4.78)	1.34 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Logroñés
11.4%

Draw
19%

Girona
69.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.8%

19.2%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

15.6%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Girona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

UD Logroñés - Girona Predictions

Users Predictions: Girona will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Royo K. (C) 19. Riki de Moraes 4. Monreal J. 28. Arnau P. 17. Almandoz B. 30. Garrido I. 20. Bonilla Martinez F. C. 34. Fernandez M. 22. Aliaga V. 7. Najera M. 24. Facchin E.	25. Lopez P. (G) 16. Frances A. 35. Yaakobishvili A. 15. Juanpe 17. Blind D. 29. Kim M. 28. Clua Oya S. 24. Portu 22. Solis Romero J. E. 11. Danjuma A. 7. Stuani C. (C)
Substitutes
21. Aguero J. 10. Barrero A. O. 18. Caballero A. 13. Daza A. (G) 14. Gualda A. 2. Iribarren Y. 8. Lopez P. 11. Madrazo J. 3. Mateo A. 12. Moreno E. 5. Sarriegi I.	36. Artero R. 31. Jastin G. 1. Juan Carlos (G) 4. Martinez A. 23. Martin I. 27. Misehouy G. 9. Ruiz A. 6. van de Beek D.
Coaches
Rodriguez S.	Michel

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Riki de Moraes ↓, Iribarren Y. ↑,
61', Monreal J. ↓, Lopez P. ↑,
61', Almandoz B. ↓, Moreno E. ↑,
66', Kim M. ↓, Misehouy G. ↑,
66', Solis Romero J. E. ↓, Martin I. ↑,
66', Portu ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
67', Martin I. 🟨,
74', Najera M. ↓, Aguero J. ↑,
79', Facchin E. ↓, Madrazo J. ↑,
90+6', Iribarren Y. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Clua Oya S. ↓, Jastin G. ↑,
91', Frances A. ↓,
91', Bonilla Martinez F. C. ↓, Caballero A. ↑,
96', Moreno E. 🟨,
105+6', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
106', Blind D. ↓, van de Beek D. ↑,
106', Juanpe 🟨,
113', Garrido I. 🟨,
119', Caballero A. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, van de Beek D. (Pen),
1, Caballero A. (Pen),
2, Ruiz A. (Pen),
2, Madrazo J. (Pen),
3, Danjuma A. (Pen),
3, Aguero J. (Pen),
4, Juanpe (Pen),
4, Moreno E. (Pen),
5, Stuani C. (Pen),
5, Iribarren Y. (Pen),

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Logroñés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Girona have a series of guest games.

In this match Girona is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Logroñés won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.5:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Logroñés won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Logroñés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
30.11.24	UD Logroñés - Barbastro	3:0 ✺
24.11.24	Anguiano - UD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
17.11.24	UD Logroñés - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:0 ✺
10.11.24	SD Logroñés - UD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	UD Logroñés - Calahorra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLTTW
- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga
01.12.24	Villarreal - Girona	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.11.24	Sturm Graz - Girona	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
23.11.24	Girona - Espanyol	4:1 ✺
10.11.24	Getafe - Girona	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.11.24	PSV Eindhoven - Girona	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
09.05.21	UD Logroñés - Girona	1:4
10.12.20	Girona - UD Logroñés	2:0

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