Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 5 November 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Philips Stadion (Eindhoven) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	14:45	ESPN 2
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Belgium	18:45	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	14:45	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	19:45	Max Sport 3
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	14:45	ESPN Premium
China	01:45	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	12:45	ESPN
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	18:45	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	18:45	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	19:45	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	18:45	CANAL+ Foot
Georgia	21:45	Silk Sport 1
Germany	18:45	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 2
Haiti	12:45	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong Kong	01:45	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	18:45	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	17:45	Vodafone Sport
India	23:15	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	17:45	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	02:45	Wowow Prime
Kazakhstan	23:45	Qazsport
Kosovo	18:45	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Motion Sport 2
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	18:45	TSN Malta 6
Mexico	11:45	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Montenegro	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	00:15	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand
North Central America	—	ESPN Norte
North Macedonia	18:45	Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
Norway	18:45	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	22:45	Tapmad
Papua New Guinea	03:45	TVWan Sports
Peru	12:45	ESPN
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Poland	18:45	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 1
Romania	19:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	01:45	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	18:45	Voyo
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	20:45	TRT Spor
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	17:45	beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3
Usa	12:45	Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	13:45	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	00:45	ON Football, TV 360
International	17:45	Disney+, JioTV app, Virgin TV Go app


	PSV Eindhoven		Girona

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.1	4.33
	1.68	4	4.75
	1.72	4.2	4.65	Watch
	1.73	4.09	4.8
	1.71	4.13	4.77	Watch
	1.73	4	4.6
	1.74	4.3	4.71
	1.72	4.2	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.79)	4.13 ↑ (4.03)	4.66 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: UniMas

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Current Win Probability

PSV Eindhoven
56%

Draw
23.3%

Girona
20.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.7%

23.8%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

23.5%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.9%	11.5%	4.6%

PSV Eindhoven - Girona Predictions

Users Predictions: PSV Eindhoven will win (71 of 84 users predict this - 84.52%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.78% – 92.26%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Benitez W. (G) 2. Karsdorp R. 6. Flamingo R. 18. Boscagli O. 32. Dams M. 20. Til G. 17. Mauro Junior 7. Tillman M. 11. Bakayoko J. 9. de Jong L. (C) 10. Lang N.	13. Gazzaniga P. (G) 4. Martinez A. (C) 5. Lopez D. 18. Krejci L. 17. Blind D. 28. Clua Oya S. 21. Herrera Y. 6. van de Beek D. 20. Gil B. 3. Gutierrez M. 19. Miovski B.
Substitutes
26. Babadi I. 21. Driouech C. 16. Drommel J. (G) 37. Ledezma R. 35. Oppegard F. 14. Pepi R. 34. Saibari I. 24. Schiks N. (G)	30. Garcia E. 42. Garcia L. (G) 31. Jastin G. 15. Juanpe 29. Kim M. 25. Lopez P. (G) 14. Romeu O. 7. Stuani C.
Coaches
Bosz P.	Michel

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Flamingo R. ⚽, Tillman M. (A),
33', 2 - 0, Tillman M. ⚽, Lang N. (A),
40', de Jong L. 🟨,
40', Martinez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', Gil B. 🟨,
55', Martinez A. 🟨,
58', Karsdorp R. 🟨,
60', Dams M. 🟨,
61', van de Beek D. ↓, Juanpe ↑,
61', Herrera Y. ↓, Romeu O. ↑,
63', Lang N. ↓, Driouech C. ↑,
67', Miovski B. ↓, Stuani C. ↑,
71', Dams M. ↓, Oppegard F. ↑,
71', Karsdorp R. ↓, Saibari I. ↑,
79', Gil B. ↓, Kim M. ↑,
79', Clua Oya S. ↓, Jastin G. ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Bakayoko J. ⚽, Tillman M. (A),
85', Til G. ↓, Babadi I. ↑,
85', de Jong L. ↓, Pepi R. ↑,
88', 4 - 0, Krejci L. (Own goal), Saibari I. (A),
90+1', Stuani C. 🟨,
90+1', Bakayoko J. 🟨,
90+1', Gazzaniga P. 🟨,

Preview

PSV is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Girona is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Girona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match PSV is a favorite.

There will not play in PSV: Fofana F. (Knee Injury) Nagalo A. (Arm Injury) Schouten J. (Thigh Injury) Veerman J. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Girona: Artero R. (Ankle Injury) Asprilla Y. (Ankle Injury) Danjuma A. (Muscle Injury) Frances A. (Thigh Injury) Jastin G. (Shoulder Injury) Martin I. (Muscle Injury) Misehouy G. (Muscle Injury) Portu (Ankle Injury) Ruiz A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in PSV: Dest S. (Knee Injury) Lozano H. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Girona: Miovski B. (Ankle Injury) Solis Romero J. E. (Muscle Injury) Tsygankov V. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
02.11.24	Ajax - PSV Eindhoven	3:2 ✺
26.10.24	PSV Eindhoven - Zwolle	6:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.10.24	Paris Saint-Germain - PSV Eindhoven	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
19.10.24	AZ Alkmaar - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	PSV Eindhoven - Sparta Rotterdam	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWTWW
- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga
02.11.24	Girona - Leganés	4:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	CD Extremadura - Girona	0:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
26.10.24	Las Palmas - Girona	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.10.24	Girona - Slovan Bratislava	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
19.10.24	Girona - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLWL

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