Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 27 November 2024, Wednesday

Location: Wörthersee Stadion (Klagenfurt)

Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sturm Graz		Girona

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	2.05
	3.5	3.4	2.1
	3.5	3.65	2.12	Watch
	3.7	3.65	2.09
	3.57	3.65	2.08	Watch
	3.5	3.5	2.1
	3.67	3.69	2.1
	3.5	3.65	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (3.11)	3.6 ↓ (3.74)	2.1 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturm Graz
27.1%

Draw
26.8%

Girona
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

25.5%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

26.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.7%	13.1%	76.2%

Sturm Graz - Girona Predictions

Users Predictions: 80 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 9 - 11.3%). Girona will win (votes: 62 - 77.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 11.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Girona: 68.3% – 86.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Khudyakov D. (G) 22. Gazibegovic J. 47. Aiwu E. 35. Geyrhofer N. 24. Lavalee D. 21. Chukwuani T. 8. Yalcouye M. 15. Boving W. 10. Kiteishvili O. (C) 18. Biereth M. 20. Jatta S.	13. Gazzaniga P. (G) 16. Frances A. 15. Juanpe (C) 18. Krejci L. 17. Blind D. 23. Martin I. 14. Romeu O. 3. Gutierrez M. 8. Tsygankov V. 20. Gil B. 19. Miovski B.
Substitutes
40. Bignetti M. (G) 4. Gorenc Stankovic J. 38. Grgic L. 25. Hierlander S. 43. Hodl J. 19. Horvat T. 2. Johnston M. 17. Karic E. 23. Malic A. 45. Wiener-Pucher C. (G) 5. Wuthrich G. 9. Yardimci E.	36. Artero R. 10. Asprilla Y. 28. Clua Oya S. 11. Danjuma A. 42. Garcia L. (G) 5. Lopez D. 25. Lopez P. (G) 9. Ruiz A. 22. Solis Romero J. E. 7. Stuani C.
Coaches
Saumel J.	Michel

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Gazibegovic J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Martin I. ↓, Asprilla Y. ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Biereth M. ⚽, Jatta S. (A),
64', Gil B. 🟨,
65', Yalcouye M. ↓, Horvat T. ↑,
65', Jatta S. ↓, Yardimci E. ↑,
67', Miovski B. ↓, Stuani C. ↑,
67', Blind D. ↓, Danjuma A. ↑,
73', Frances A. ↓, Solis Romero J. E. ↑,
73', Tsygankov V. ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
76', Biereth M. ↓, Gorenc Stankovic J. ↑,
90+1', Boving W. ↓, Hierlander S. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Wörthersee Stadion.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Girona will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Knee Injury) Gorenc Stankovic J. (Forearm injury)

There will not play in Girona: Artero R. (Ankle Injury) Herrera Y. (Muscle Injury) Jastin G. (Shoulder Injury) Martinez A. (Red Card) Misehouy G. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Sturm: Camara A. (Illness)

There are questionable in Girona: Portu (Ankle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga
23.11.24	Sturm Graz - Austria Klagenfurt	7:0 ✺
09.11.24	Hartberg - Sturm Graz	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.11.24	Borussia Dortmund - Sturm Graz	1:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
02.11.24	Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien	1:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
30.10.24	Sturm Graz - Blau-Weiss Linz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLTW
- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga
23.11.24	Girona - Espanyol	4:1 ✺
10.11.24	Getafe - Girona	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.11.24	PSV Eindhoven - Girona	4:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
02.11.24	Girona - Leganés	4:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	CD Extremadura - Girona	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWW

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