Match Info

Date: 18 April 2021, Sunday


	UD Logroñés		Rayo Vallecano

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.6	3.3	2.05
	3.7	3.2	2.07	Watch
	3.8	3.05	2.05
	3.1	3.1	2.38	Watch
	3.74	3.22	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.17)	3.18 ↑ (3.13)	2.12 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Logroñés
26%

Draw
29.6%

Rayo Vallecano
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

29.9%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

20.4%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UD Logroñés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rayo Vallecano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

UD Logroñés - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 and 6 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga2 (Promotion to Play Offs)).

Logroñés has a chance of relegated (27%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Rayo Vallecano has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (86%), has a chance of promoted (21%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Rayo Vallecano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rayo Vallecano will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Logroñés won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Logroñés
Spanish LaLiga2
11.04.21	Mirandés - UD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
03.04.21	UD Logroñés - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
30.03.21	Ponferradina - UD Logroñés	2:2 ✺
27.03.21	UD Logroñés - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
20.03.21	Espanyol - UD Logroñés	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWTTL
- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga2
14.04.21	Rayo Vallecano - Mirandés	0:1 ✺
10.04.21	Rayo Vallecano - Girona	2:1 ✺
02.04.21	Almería - Rayo Vallecano	0:1 ✺
30.03.21	Rayo Vallecano - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
21.03.21	Alcorcón - Rayo Vallecano	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
05.12.20	Rayo Vallecano - UD Logroñés	2:1

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