Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 29

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday


	UD Logroñés Promesas		Gernika

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2
	3.9	3	1.92
	3.94	3.04	2.02
	3.82	3.24	1.94
	4.2	3.1	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↑ (3.38)	3.1 ↑ (2.8)	1.95 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

UD Logroñés Promesas
23.7%

Draw
29.5%

Gernika
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

32.4%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

31%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Logroñés Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gernika's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés Promesas than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

UD Logroñés Promesas - Gernika Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

UD Logroñés Promesas is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gernika is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gernika will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches UD Logroñés Promesas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams UD Logroñés Promesas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Logroñés Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
01.04.23	Arenas Club de Getxo - UD Logroñés Promesas	5:1 ✺
25.03.23	Beasain - UD Logroñés Promesas	2:1 ✺
18.03.23	UD Logroñés Promesas - Alfaro	0:0 ✺
12.03.23	Utebo - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	UD Logroñés Promesas - Tarazona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLTTT
- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
01.04.23	Gernika - Alfaro	2:0 ✺
25.03.23	Utebo - Gernika	0:0 ✺
19.03.23	Gernika - Tarazona	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	Izarra - Gernika	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	Gernika - Tudelano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
27.11.22	Gernika - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:0
08.05.22	UD Logroñés Promesas - Gernika	3:0
18.12.21	Gernika - UD Logroñés Promesas	3:1

Upcoming Matches