Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio de O Couto (Ourense)


	UD Ourense		Conquense

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.82
	2.5	2.94	3.04
	2.48	2.89	2.96	Watch
	2.38	2.8	2.8
	2.34	3.08	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.38)	2.94 ↓ (3.2)	2.9 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Ourense
37.7%

Draw
30.9%

Conquense
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28.5%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

28.1%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Conquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

UD Ourense - Conquense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, de Prado S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

First leg.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Conquense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ourense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.05.26	UD Ourense - Reus FC Reddis	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Reus FC Reddis - UD Ourense	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	UD Ourense - Atlético Astorga	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Bergantiños - UD Ourense	1:3 ✺
19.04.26	UD Ourense - Lealtad	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTTWW
- UB Conquense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.05.26	Xerez CD - Conquense	1:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.05.26	Real Madrid C - Conquense	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Conquense - Tenerife B	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Navalcarnero - Conquense	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Conquense - Socuéllamos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWWLW

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