Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 20

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	13:00	Footballclub


	Valladolid B		UD Ourense

	1	X	2
	2.12	2.98	3.3
	2.17	3.03	3.55
	2.15	3.06	3.39	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.3
	2.14	2.95	3.41
	2.16	3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.3)	2.97 ↓ (3.01)	3.39 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid B
42.3%

Draw
30.7%

UD Ourense
26.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.4%

30%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

30.1%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid B than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Valladolid B - UD Ourense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Ivorra I. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Martinez R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', 1 - 2, Rufo ⚽,
72', 1 - 3, Busto H. ⚽,
77', 2 - 3, Carvajal A. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Valladolid B has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

UD Ourense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Valladolid B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valladolid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.01.26	Salamanca - Valladolid B	3:0 ✺
10.01.26	Atlético Astorga - Valladolid B	1:4 ✺
04.01.26	Valladolid B - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:4 ✺
20.12.25	Langreo - Valladolid B	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Valladolid B - Rayo Cantabria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLTT
- UD Ourense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.01.26	Real Ávila - UD Ourense	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	UD Ourense - Salamanca	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Sámano - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	UD Ourense - Sarriana	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - UD Ourense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWTWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valladolid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.11.26	Valladolid B - Getafe B	✺
- UD Ourense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.11.26	UD Ourense - Leonesa	✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.26	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - UD Ourense	✺

Valladolid B - UD Ourense