Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 26

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TVG


	UD Ourense		Real Oviedo B

	1	X	2
	2.42	3	2.72
	2.74	2.9	2.78
	2.61	2.98	2.71	Watch
	2.75	2.7	2.63
	2.62	2.79	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.76)	2.87 ↓ (3.06)	2.71 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Ourense
34.7%

Draw
31.7%

Real Oviedo B
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

29.5%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

29.5%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Ourense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Real Oviedo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo B than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

UD Ourense - Real Oviedo B Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. UD Ourense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Puime L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
75', 2 - 0, Martinez R. ⚽,
82', 3 - 0, Pardo S. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

UD Ourense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Oviedo B is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, UD Ourense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Oviedo B	5	2	1	2	8:10	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ourense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.03.26	Sarriana - UD Ourense	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	UD Ourense - Rayo Cantabria	3:3 ✺
15.02.26	Numancia - UD Ourense	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	UD Ourense - Coruxo	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	UD Ourense - Burgos Promesas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTLTT
- Real Oviedo B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.03.26	Real Oviedo B - Salamanca	5:2 ✺
22.02.26	Lealtad - Real Oviedo B	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Real Oviedo B - Atlético Astorga	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Burgos Promesas - Real Oviedo B	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Real Oviedo B - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.11.25	Real Oviedo B - UD Ourense	0:1

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