Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 34

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday


	UD San Fernando		Getafe B

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.55
	2.65	3	2.45
	3	3	2.4
	2.75	2.93	2.73
	2.71	3.07	2.59
	2.65	2.95	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3.39)	2.99 (2.99)	2.55 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD San Fernando
33.7%

Draw
30.5%

Getafe B
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

30.4%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

29.7%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UD San Fernando's performance.

Getafe B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Getafe B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UD San Fernando that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Getafe B than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Getafe B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

UD San Fernando - Getafe B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
65', 1 - 0, Hernandez S. A. F. ⚽,
84', 1 - 1, Denia M. ⚽,
87', 2 - 1, Ojeda Gil J. A. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, Garcia S. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

San Fernando is Relegated to

Getafe B is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs

San Fernando has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Getafe B in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

San Fernando could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Getafe B will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams San Fernando won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.04.24	Villanovense - UD San Fernando	3:3 ✺
21.04.24	UD San Fernando - Navalcarnero	1:2 ✺
14.04.24	Numancia - UD San Fernando	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	UD San Fernando - Illescas	2:2 ✺
31.03.24	Atlético Paso - UD San Fernando	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLLTT
- Getafe B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.04.24	Getafe B - CD Guadalajara	2:0 ✺
21.04.24	Unión Adarve - Getafe B	0:2 ✺
14.04.24	Getafe B - San Sebastian Reyes	3:1 ✺
07.04.24	Mensajero - Getafe B	0:1 ✺
31.03.24	Badajoz - Getafe B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.01.24	Getafe B - UD San Fernando	2:0

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