Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 30

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	UD San Fernando		Illescas

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.88	3.8
	1.95	2.87	3.75
	2.05	3	3.75	Watch
	2.06	2.92	4.05
	2.06	2.92	4.06
	2.04	2.98	3.95
	2.02	2.95	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.29)	2.93 ↑ (2.89)	3.88 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD San Fernando
45.3%

Draw
31.2%

Illescas
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

31.8%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

31.1%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UD San Fernando's performance.

Illescas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

UD San Fernando - Illescas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Rodriguez V. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Serbourdin S. ⚽,
42', 1 - 2, Mingo ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 2 - 2, Sanchez S. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Recent matches San Fernando is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Illescas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Illescas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

San Fernando will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
31.03.24	Atlético Paso - UD San Fernando	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	UD San Fernando - Llerenense	0:2 ✺
17.03.24	Montijo - UD San Fernando	1:2 ✺
10.03.24	UD San Fernando - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Cacereño - UD San Fernando	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TLWWL
- CD Illescas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
31.03.24	Illescas - CD Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
24.03.24	Unión Adarve - Illescas	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Illescas - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Mensajero - Illescas	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Illescas - Getafe B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.11.23	Illescas - UD San Fernando	6:0

UD San Fernando - Illescas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide