Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 32

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday


	UD San Fernando		Navalcarnero

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.8	3
	2.35	2.85	2.9
	2.45	2.95	3	Watch
	2.56	2.84	3.28
	2.56	2.61	3.28
	2.39	2.96	3.07
	2.39	2.85	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.22)	2.84 ↓ (2.92)	3.08 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

UD San Fernando
37.7%

Draw
32.4%

Navalcarnero
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

31.5%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

31.6%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

UD San Fernando - Navalcarnero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 1 - 0, Serbourdin S. (Pen),
87', 1 - 1, Alonso A. ⚽,
89', 1 - 2, Gutierrez A. ⚽,
90+5', 🟥,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches San Fernando is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Navalcarnero is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Fernando could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams San Fernando won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.04.24	Numancia - UD San Fernando	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	UD San Fernando - Illescas	2:2 ✺
31.03.24	Atlético Paso - UD San Fernando	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	UD San Fernando - Llerenense	0:2 ✺
17.03.24	Montijo - UD San Fernando	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTTLW
- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.04.24	Navalcarnero - CD Guadalajara	3:1 ✺
07.04.24	Unión Adarve - Navalcarnero	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Navalcarnero - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	Mensajero - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Navalcarnero - Getafe B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.12.23	Navalcarnero - UD San Fernando	0:1

Upcoming Matches