Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - PROMOTION PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 4 June 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	UD San Fernando		Leioa

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.9	2.75
	2.38	2.88	2.6
	2.33	2.72	3.24
	2.36	3.28	2.94
	2.4	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.32)	2.96 ↓ (3.3)	2.89 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD San Fernando
38.1%

Draw
30.6%

Leioa
31.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.3%

27.6%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

29.3%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Leioa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

UD San Fernando - Leioa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

San Fernando is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Leioa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Leioa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD San Fernando
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
28.05.23	Leioa - UD San Fernando	2:0 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
21.05.23	UD San Fernando - Villa de Santa Brígida	0:0 ✺
14.05.23	Villa de Santa Brígida - UD San Fernando	1:1 ✺
07.05.23	UD San Fernando - Las Palmas B	2:1 ✺
30.04.23	Las Palmas B - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTTWL
- SD Leioa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
28.05.23	Leioa - UD San Fernando	2:0 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
21.05.23	Leioa - Deusto	2:1 ✺
13.05.23	Deusto - Leioa	1:2 ✺
06.05.23	Leioa - Basconia	2:0 ✺
29.04.23	Basconia - Leioa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
28.05.23	Leioa - UD San Fernando	2:0

UD San Fernando - Leioa

Match Info

Current Win Probability

UD San Fernando - Leioa Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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