Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - PROMOTION PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 28 May 2023, Sunday


	Leioa		UD San Fernando

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.25	3.8
	1.81	3.24	4.03
	1.8	3.5	4.3
	1.87	3.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.21)	3.35 ↓ (3.38)	3.97 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leioa
49.9%

Draw
27.2%

UD San Fernando
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

27.7%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

26.7%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leioa's performance.

UD San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UD San Fernando might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leioa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD San Fernando could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

#ad

Preview

1st leg.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

San Fernando could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Leioa will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Leioa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
21.05.23	Leioa - Deusto	2:1 ✺
13.05.23	Deusto - Leioa	1:2 ✺
06.05.23	Leioa - Basconia	2:0 ✺
29.04.23	Basconia - Leioa	1:0 ✺
22.04.23	Pasaia - Leioa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLL
- UD San Fernando
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
21.05.23	UD San Fernando - Villa de Santa Brígida	0:0 ✺
14.05.23	Villa de Santa Brígida - UD San Fernando	1:1 ✺
07.05.23	UD San Fernando - Las Palmas B	2:1 ✺
30.04.23	Las Palmas B - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
23.04.23	UD San Fernando - Marino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TTWLL

Leioa - UD San Fernando: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide