The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UD San Fernando 47.5%
Draw 27.8%
Panadería Pulido 24.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.8%
26.2%
20%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.4%
23.3%
17.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UD San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UD San Fernando's form might have worsened.
Panadería Pulido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UD San Fernando, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panadería Pulido than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Panadería Pulido, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
UD San Fernando - Panadería Pulido Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 2-0.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UD San Fernando won 2.
UD San Fernando is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Panadería has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, UD San Fernando is the team to beat.
We predict that UD San Fernando will win today's game, with odds of 1.83.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, UD San Fernando won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, UD San Fernando won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).
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