Match Info

Date: 24 April 2022, Sunday


	UD San Fernando		Xerez Deportivo

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.95	2.35
	3.3	2.85	2.28
	2.95	2.95	2.34
	3.66	2.95	2.22
	3.15	3.13	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.75)	2.97 ↓ (3)	2.29 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD San Fernando
28.9%

Draw
31%

Xerez Deportivo
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

29.9%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

30.6%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Xerez Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

UD San Fernando - Xerez Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches San Fernando is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Xerez Deportivo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

San Fernando could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.04.22	Vélez - UD San Fernando	3:0 ✺
10.04.22	UD San Fernando - Ceuta	1:0 ✺
03.04.22	Panadería Pulido - UD San Fernando	1:1 ✺
27.03.22	UD San Fernando - Las Palmas B	3:2 ✺
20.03.22	Mérida AD - UD San Fernando	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LWTWL
- Xerez Deportivo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.04.22	Xerez Deportivo - Tamaraceite	1:0 ✺
10.04.22	Don Benito - Xerez Deportivo	1:2 ✺
03.04.22	Xerez Deportivo - Coria	1:1 ✺
27.03.22	Cadiz CF B - Xerez Deportivo	0:0 ✺
19.03.22	Xerez Deportivo - Montijo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.12.21	Xerez Deportivo - UD San Fernando	1:0

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