The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Árabe Unido 40.1%
Draw 30.2%
UMECIT 29.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.4%
28.4%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.4%
27.3%
22.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Árabe Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Árabe Unido's form might have worsened.
UMECIT has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UMECIT's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Árabe Unido than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Árabe Unido, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UMECIT than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UMECIT, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Árabe Unido - UMECIT Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Mosquera K. (G) 24. Munoz M. 14. Dupuy C. 19. Harrison J. 94. Chara G. 13. Cooper A. 47. Graham R. 26. Reefer O. 35. Jimenez J. 29. Valencia J. 20. Collymore R.
1. Almengor D. (G) 23. Chanis E. 6. Fuentes J. 27. Garcia A. 14. Ford R. 20. Avila R. 21. Almanza O. 47. Valderrama B. 70. Anderson Gomez N. M. 9. Murillo J. 19. Saldana A.
Substitutes
4. Bernal D. 8. Breary M. 27. Ceballos M. 28. Filos J. 16. Jimenez Abdiel 3. Llerena O. 11. McClean F. 10. Palacios A. 18. Penalba O. 1. Polo R. (G)
26. Araya J. 37. Baron V. 62. Casazola M. 77. Diaz A. 17. Edwards A. 30. Hinojosa C. (G) 92. Oliveira D. 7. Peralta H. 11. Rodriguez E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Valderrama B. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Valencia J. ⚽,
27', Collymore R. 🟨,
32', Cooper A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Valderrama B. ↓, Casazola M. ↑,
46', Murillo J. ↓, Peralta H. ↑,
48', Valencia J. 🟨,
53', 1 - 1, Anderson Gomez N. M. ⚽,
57', 🟨,
59', Jimenez J. ↓, Penalba O. ↑,
59', Graham R. ↓, Ceballos M. ↑,
72', Avila R. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
73', Valencia J. ↓, Filos J. ↑,
73', Dupuy C. ↓, Bernal D. ↑,
74', Penalba O. 🟨,
76', Almanza O. ↓, Palmezano A. ↑,
83', Reefer O. ↓, Breary M. ↑,
83', Breary M. 🟨,
86', Anderson Gomez N. M. ↓, Araya J. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Árabe Unido won 1.
Árabe Unido is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
UMECIT is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Árabe Unido for this game.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Árabe Unido has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:5 (averaging 0.7:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Árabe Unido against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).
Watch
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Mosquera K. (G) 
Chara G. 
Oliveira D. 
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