Match Info

LPF - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Armando Dely Valdes (Colón)

Where to Watch on TV:


Panama	Tigo Sports


	Árabe Unido		UMECIT

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.98	3.2	Watch
	2.16	3.01	3.6
	3.18	2.24	3.17	Watch
	2.15	2.75	3.3
	2.14	2.92	3.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.22)	2.78 ↓ (2.94)	3.34 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Árabe Unido
39.2%

Draw
33.2%

UMECIT
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

31.1%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

29.6%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Árabe Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

UMECIT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Árabe Unido than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UMECIT than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Árabe Unido - UMECIT Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gutierrez L. (G) 4. Bernal D. 94. Chara G. 29. Valencia J. 6. Breary M. 24. Munoz M. 20. Collymore R. 25. De Los Rios A. 10. Palacios A. 26. Reefer O. 9. Cox Goods J. C.	1. Almengor D. (G) 62. Casazola M. 27. Garcia A. 26. Araya J. 22. Palmezano A. 23. Chanis E. 10. Gomez E. 6. Fuentes J. 29. Beccera O. 7. Peralta H. 19. Saldana A.
Substitutes
7. Burgess R. 14. Dupuy C. 28. Filos J. 51. Garcia M. (G) 19. Harrison J. 3. Llerena O. 11. McClean F. 8. McKenzie A. 92. Oliveira D. 18. Penalba O.	21. Almanza O. 8. Batista R. 80. Delgado G. 3. Delgado J. 5. Edghill V. 17. Edwards A. 30. Hinojosa C. (G) 15. Livingston J. 9. Murillo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', De Los Rios A. ↓, McKenzie A. ↑,
46', Palacios A. ↓, Oliveira D. ↑,
60', McKenzie A. ↓, Harrison J. ↑,
66', Saldana A. ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
66', Gomez E. ↓, Batista R. ↑,
66', Beccera O. 🟨,
69', Batista R. 🟨,
69', Reefer O. 🟨,
74', Cox Goods J. C. ↓, Burgess R. ↑,
76', Beccera O. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
76', Palmezano A. ↓, Edghill V. ↑,
88', Collymore R. ↓, Penalba O. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Árabe Unido won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Árabe Unido may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Árabe Unido is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Árabe Unido won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.6:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Árabe Unido won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

UMECIT - the odds 3.28 are the expected chance of winning is 27.8%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Árabe Unido
Liga Panamena de Futbol
10.04.26	Tauro - Árabe Unido	4:0 ✺
05.04.26	Árabe Unido - Sporting San Miguelito	1:0 ✺
30.03.26	Árabe Unido - Independiente de la Chorrera	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Árabe Unido - Deportivo Universitario	1:0 ✺
13.03.26	San Francisco - Árabe Unido	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWWW
- UMECIT FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
13.04.26	Sporting San Miguelito - UMECIT	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	UMECIT - Alianza Panama	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Veraguas - UMECIT	1:4 ✺
23.03.26	UMECIT - Herrera	1:0 ✺
16.03.26	UMECIT - Union Cocle	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
19.01.26	UMECIT - Árabe Unido	1:0
18.10.25	Árabe Unido - UMECIT	1:1
28.07.25	UMECIT - Árabe Unido	1:0
09.03.25	UMECIT - Árabe Unido	0:1
07.09.24	Árabe Unido - UMECIT	1:0
10.03.24	UMECIT - Árabe Unido	0:0
08.09.23	Árabe Unido - UMECIT	1:0

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