The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tauro 30.3%
Draw 27.9%
Plaza Amador 41.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.7%
26.7%
46.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.7%
25.7%
48.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tauro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Plaza Amador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tauro than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plaza Amador than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Plaza Amador could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tauro - Plaza Amador Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Guerra J. (G)
2. Asprilla L.
6. Bernal K.
3. Gondola E.
22. Hernandez I.
23. Penalba J.
20. Perez B.
7. Pinzon D.
10. Quintero C.
40. Quiroz G.
28. Sanchez J.
Substitutes
18. Barria J.
4. Diaz A.
15. Figueroa J.
19. Hurtado K.
29. Munoz J.
39. Perea A.
52. Prado M.
5. Quintero K.
1. Vargas J. (G)
25. Vargas J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Quintero A. ↓, Cordoba O. ↑,
33', Hernandez I. 🟨,
35', Perez B. ↓, Barria J. ↑,
44', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
45', Gondola E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Cordoba O. ⚽,
59', Rodriguez J. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
60', Quiroz G. ↓, Vargas J. ↑,
60', Pinzon D. ↓, Prado M. ↑,
66', Quintero C. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
66', Penalba J. ↓, Figueroa J. ↑,
69', Murillo D. ↓, Lara J. ↑,
69', Murillo J. ↓, Valencia A. ↑,
69', Rose E. ↓, Phillips R. ↑,
78', Phillips R. 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tauro won 1.
In recent outings, Tauro has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Plaza Amador is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Plaza Amador is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tauro has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:20 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tauro against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 12:10 goals (averaging 1.2:1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Plaza Amador - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 46.59%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.
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Guerra J. (G) 
Munoz J. 
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