The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tauro 34.8%
Draw 27.3%
Plaza Amador 37.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.5%
27.1%
46.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.3%
25.9%
48.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tauro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tauro's performance.
Plaza Amador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Plaza Amador might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tauro than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tauro that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plaza Amador than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Plaza Amador could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tauro - Plaza Amador Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Guerra J. (G) 2. Asprilla L. 4. Diaz A. 18. Diaz S. 22. Hernandez I. 8. Medina V. 21. Olivardia A. 20. Perez B. 5. Ramos Jaramillo H. 28. Sanchez J. 29. Vargas J.
1. Castaneda S. (G) 7. Gondola F. 14. Knight A. 29. Lopez O. 21. Murillo D. 20. Murillo J. 48. Pacheco J. 19. Quintero A. 43. Taivez J. 22. Walters K. 16. Yearwood R.
Substitutes
15. Anderson Gomez N. M. 6. Bernal K. 17. Cabrera W. 19. Cecena J. 26. Cunningham S. 39. Perea A. 10. Quintero C. 7. Rodriguez J. 14. Rodriguez J. 1. Vargas J. (G)
23. Allen M. (G) 99. Browne O. 9. Cagua G. 5. Cordoba F. 3. Cordoba O. 6. Lara J. 15. Murillo Y. 11. Phillips R. 27. Rios H. 4. Sanchez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Olivardia A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Olivardia A. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
50', Vargas J. 🟨,
58', Lopez O. ↓, Browne O. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Quintero A. ⚽,
69', Murillo D. ↓, Lara J. ↑,
69', Murillo J. ↓, Murillo Y. ↑,
70', Perez B. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
70', Medina V. ↓, Cecena J. ↑,
75', Quintero A. 🟨,
76', Hernandez I. 🟨,
77', Pacheco J. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
77', Quintero A. ↓, Cordoba O. ↑,
78', Diaz A. ↓, Quintero C. ↑,
83', Ramos Jaramillo H. 🟨,
84', Gondola F. 🟨,
88', Hernandez I. ↓, Bernal K. ↑,
90+2', Knight A. 🟨,
90+4', Taivez J. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tauro won 1.
Tauro has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Plaza Amador is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Tauro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Plaza Amador might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tauro won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Tauro won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).