Match Info

Leagues Cup - Round 2

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Inter&Co Stadium (Orlando, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
World	Apple TV


	UNAM		Atlanta United

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.75	3.6	Watch
	1.93	3.5	3.2
	2.05	3.65	3.2
	2	3.69	3.77
	1.94	3.76	3.54	Watch
	2.02	3.72	3.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.6)	3.68 ↑ (3.41)	3.45 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UNAM
47.3%

Draw
25.5%

Atlanta United
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

27.3%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

26.9%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UNAM's performance.

Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlanta United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UNAM that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlanta United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	13%	4.3%

UNAM - Atlanta United Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. UNAM will win (votes: 19 - 82.6%). Atlanta will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for UNAM: 67.1% – 98.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.78) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): UNAM will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Navas K. (G) 2. Bennevendo P. 6. Nathan Silva 5. Duarte R. 77. Angulo A. 8. Caicedo J. 28. Carrasquilla A. 7. Lopez R. 45. Vite P. 17. Ruvalcaba J. 9. Martinez G.	1. Guzan B. (G) 11. Lennon B. 5. Gregersen S. 4. Mihaj E. 2. Hernandez R. 59. Miranchuk Al. 99. Slisz B. 8. Muyumba T. 10. Almiron M. (C) 19. Latte Lath E. 9. Lobjanidze S.
Substitutes
215. Azuaje A. 13. Monroy P. 256. Parra Arteaga R. (G) 181. Paul M. (G) 27. Quispe Cordova P. A. 26. Rico A. 15. Rivas U. 206. Torres Berlanga M. G. 20. Trigos S. 258. Villasenor E.	20. Brennan L. 50. Chong-Qui D. 22. Cohen J. (G) 42. Hibbert J. (G) 13. Leo Afonso 28. Reilly W. 66. Sessock N. 14. Thiare J. 30. Togashi C.
Coaches
Juarez E.	Deila R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
23', 1 - 0, Angulo A. (Pen),
30', Hernandez R. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Navas K. (Own goal),
39', Gregersen S. 🟨,
43', 1 - 2, Latte Lath E. ⚽, Lobjanidze S. (A),
45', Carrasquilla A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Lopez R. ↓, Quispe Cordova P. A. ↑,
59', Bennevendo P. ↓, Monroy P. ↑,
62', 2 - 2, Carrasquilla A. ⚽, Quispe Cordova P. A. (A),
70', Lobjanidze S. ↓, Brennan L. ↑,
70', Muyumba T. ↓, Reilly W. ↑,
70', Mihaj E. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
70', Latte Lath E. ↓, Sessock N. ↑,
81', Gregersen S. ↓, Togashi C. ↑,
86', Sessock N. 🟨,
88', Carrasquilla A. (Pen),
89', 3 - 2, Carrasquilla A. ⚽,
90+3', Martinez G. 🟨,
90+3', Martinez G. ↓, Torres Berlanga M. G. ↑,
90+3', Vite P. ↓, Trigos S. ↑,
90+6', Navas K. 🟥,
90+14', Slisz B. 🟨,

Preview

UNAM has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atlanta has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

UNAM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

UNAM could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

UNAM - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.82%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Atlanta United - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.85%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UNAM Pumas
CONCACAF League Cup
30.07.25	UNAM - Orlando City	2:1 penalties ✺
Mexican Liga MX
25.07.25	Querétaro - UNAM	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	UNAM - Pachuca	2:3 ✺
12.07.25	Santos Laguna - UNAM	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.07.25	UNAM - Leganés	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWLLW
- Atlanta United
CONCACAF League Cup
30.07.25	Necaxa - Atlanta United	3:1 ✺
MLS
26.07.25	Atlanta United - Seattle Sounders	2:2 ✺
19.07.25	Atlanta United - Charlotte	2:3 ✺
16.07.25	Atlanta United - Chicago Fire	2:2 ✺
12.07.25	Toronto FC - Atlanta United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLTT

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