Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Corona (Torreón)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	TUDN App, TUDN, Univision


	Santos Laguna		UNAM

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2.05
	3.05	3.25	2.28
	3.21	3.42	2.33
				Watch
	3.5	3.3	2	Watch
	3.14	3.32	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (3.94)	3.3 ↓ (3.47)	2.21 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos Laguna
28.9%

Draw
28.5%

UNAM
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

27.2%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos Laguna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UNAM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Santos Laguna - UNAM Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - UNAM (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - UNAM (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: UNAM will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): UNAM will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. UNAM (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Acevedo C. (G) 4. Abella J. (C) 2. Amione B. 35. Balanta K. 17. Echeverria E. 6. Guemez J. 5. Lopez A. 13. Ocejo Zazueta J. A. 19. Ortega H. 26. Sordo R. 21. Villalba F.	256. Parra Arteaga R. (G) 2. Bennevendo P. 8. Caicedo J. 28. Carrasquilla A. 5. Duarte R. 7. Lopez R. 9. Martinez G. (C) 13. Monroy P. 6. Nathan Silva 27. Quispe Cordova P. A. 20. Trigos S.
Substitutes
9. Carrillo J. 7. Dajome C. 10. Fagundez F. 3. Govea I. 23. Gutierrez E. 33. Holguin H. (G) 11. Lozano C. 8. Mariscal Murra S. 24. Medina D. 22. Prieto R.	215. Azuaje A. 263. Juarez A. . Lopez S. . Miguel P. 241. Ramirez D. 26. Rico A. 15. Rivas U. 206. Torres Berlanga M. G. 258. Villasenor E.
Coaches
Ortiz F.	Juarez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Monroy P. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Lopez A. ⚽,
20', Quispe Cordova P. A. 🟨,
22', Sordo R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Trigos S. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
55', 2 - 0, Sordo R. ⚽,
57', Lopez R. ↓, Rico A. ↑,
58', Monroy P. ↓, Villasenor E. ↑,
62', Carrasquilla A. 🟨,
65', Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ↓, Lozano C. ↑,
69', Duarte R. 🟨,
72', Quispe Cordova P. A. ↓, Torres Berlanga M. G. ↑,
73', Bennevendo P. 🟨,
80', Sordo R. ↓, Dajome C. ↑,
80', Villalba F. ↓, Carrillo J. ↑,
80', Balanta K. ↓, Gutierrez E. ↑,
89', 3 - 0, Dajome C. ⚽,
90', Dajome C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 2.

Santos Laguna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

UNAM will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Santos Laguna: Balanta K. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in UNAM: Ramsey A. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Santos Laguna: Medina D. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 37:30. (average 1.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Santos Laguna won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 2.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos Laguna
Club Friendly
27.06.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Santos Laguna	2:2 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
20.04.25	Santos Laguna - Tijuana	0:4 ✺
16.04.25	UNAM - Santos Laguna	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Santos Laguna - Querétaro	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Toluca - Santos Laguna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLLLL
- UNAM Pumas
Club Friendly
06.07.25	UNAM - Leganés	2:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
04.05.25	Monterrey - UNAM	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Juárez - UNAM	1:2 penalties ✺
19.04.25	Tigres UANL - UNAM	2:1 ✺
16.04.25	UNAM - Santos Laguna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
16.04.25	UNAM - Santos Laguna	2:0
13.07.24	Santos Laguna - UNAM	1:1
18.02.24	UNAM - Santos Laguna	3:0
02.09.23	Santos Laguna - UNAM	2:1
14.01.23	Santos Laguna - UNAM	3:0
21.08.22	UNAM - Santos Laguna	1:5
02.03.22	Santos Laguna - UNAM	3:2

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