Match Info

Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Universitario (Mexico City)

Referee: Ximena M. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, ViX Gratis, VIX+
South-america	ViX Latin America


	UNAM		Juárez

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.65	3.55
	1.94	3.79	3.5
	1.96	3.42	3.66	Watch
	1.93	3.35	3.96	Watch
	1.93	3.45	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.87)	3.53 ↑ (3.51)	3.6 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UNAM
48.3%

Draw
26.1%

Juárez
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

25.7%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

26.8%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Juárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

UNAM - Juárez Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. UNAM will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Juárez will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Toledo W. (G) 4. Alvarado M. (C) 22. Becerril K. 11. Bolanos N. 18. Bonilla W. 13. Chavero P. 16. Guerrero A. 3. Mendoza A. 7. Ribeiro S. 9. Rios X. 10. Torres C.	28. Alvarado E. (G) 20. Abud K. 17. Asantewaa G. 7. Duarte N. 13. Gonzalez E. 3. Granados N. 8. Mercado L. (C) 22. Mora Bianca 6. Perez A. 14. Rodriguez M. 19. Singano J.
Substitutes
24. Acosta F. 29. Carmona E. 14. Davila J. 21. Delgado F. 28. Flores S. 30. Gonzalez M. 27. Gonzalez Vite H. K. (G) 12. Hix A. 2. Ramirez K. 8. Serna L.	29. Arreola A. 15. Casarez J. A. 4. Castillo M. 16. Espinoza G. 18. Kaci A. 11. Martin D. 33. Morales K. (G) 23. Solis B. 10. Zuazua M.
Coaches
Frigerio M.	Fernandez Novillo O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Chavero P. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Asantewaa G. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Ribeiro S. ⚽,
45+4', Mendoza A. ↓, Davila J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bonilla W. ↓, Serna L. ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Abud K. ⚽,
55', Rios X. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
63', Guerrero A. 🟨,
65', 2 - 2, Ribeiro S. ⚽,
66', Rodriguez M. ↓, Espinoza G. ↑,
74', Granados N. ↓, Martin D. ↑,
74', Gonzalez E. ↓, Kaci A. ↑,
77', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
86', Ribeiro S. ↓, Hix A. ↑,
86', Bolanos N. ↓, Flores S. ↑,
86', Duarte N. ↓, Zuazua M. ↑,
86', Asantewaa G. ↓, Casarez J. A. ↑,
90+8', Hix A. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 4.

UNAM has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Juárez has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

UNAM is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:10. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UNAM Pumas Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
11.10.25	UNAM - Atlas	3:4 ✺
05.10.25	Chivas Guadalajara - UNAM	4:3 ✺
29.09.25	UNAM - Atlético San Luis	1:2 ✺
25.09.25	Mazatlan - UNAM	0:4 ✺
19.09.25	Querétaro - UNAM	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWL
- FC Juárez Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
11.10.25	Juárez - Necaxa	2:1 ✺
06.10.25	Santos Laguna - Juárez	0:0 ✺
26.09.25	Club America - Juárez	4:0 ✺
19.09.25	Juárez - Tigres UANL	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Cruz Azul - Juárez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
20.01.25	Juárez - UNAM	1:1
26.07.24	UNAM - Juárez	3:2
22.01.24	UNAM - Juárez	2:1
03.11.23	Juárez - UNAM	0:2
02.05.23	UNAM - Juárez	1:0
28.07.22	Juárez - UNAM	1:4
26.03.22	Juárez - UNAM	1:0

UNAM - Juárez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide