Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)

Referee: Garcia O. M. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Canal 5, TUDN, VIX, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	TUDN App, TUDN, Univision


	Atlas		UNAM

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.50	3.30	Watch
	2.20	3.25	3.20
	2.25	3.25	2.95	Watch
	2.23	3.49	3.43
	2.39	3.29	3.03	Watch
	2.35	3.25	3.15
	2.10	3.54	3.51	Watch
	2.21	3.35	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.33)	3.37 ↑ (3.3)	3.22 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlas
42.5%

Draw
28.1%

UNAM
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

27.8%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

27.9%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Atlas - UNAM Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atlas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). UNAM will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Vargas C. (C) 44. Sanchez J. 28. Capasso M. 19. Frias A. 3. Sanchez J. 18. Montiel E. 15. Ramirez P. 23. Hernandez S. 11. Duk 10. Esteves L. 9. Monzon F.	1. Navas K. (C) 21. Antuna U. 7. Lopez R. 6. Nathan Silva 34. Azuaje A. 77. Angulo A. 23. Juninho 18. Arteaga V. 45. Vite P. 14. Herrera L. 31. Morales R.
Substitutes
13. Aguirre G. 58. Gonzalez A. 8. Mmaee R. 27. Rios De Alba V. H. 5. Rodriguez J. 22. Sanchez A. (G) 192. Serrato J. 16. Valenzuela M. 6. Zaldivar E. 20. Zenon K.	2. Bennevendo P. 8. Carrasquilla A. 5. Duarte R. 10. Huerta Valera C. S. 35. Lara P. (G) 24. Leone T. 15. Luna I. 22. Medina A. 19. Rivas J. 20. Trigos S.
Coaches
Crespo H.	Solari E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Azuaje A. ⚽, Vite P. (A),
35', Duk ↓, Zenon K. ↑,
44', Capasso M. ↓, Aguirre G. ↑,
45+7', 1 - 1, Esteves L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Angulo A. ↓, Bennevendo P. ↑,
46', Frias A. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
58', Arteaga V. ↓, Carrasquilla A. ↑,
69', Juninho ↓, Huerta Valera C. S. ↑,
81', Montiel E. ↓, Mmaee R. ↑,
81', Hernandez S. ↓, Zaldivar E. ↑,
87', Antuna U. ↓, Leone T. ↑,
87', Azuaje A. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
87', Carrasquilla A. 🟥,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 9th and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for UNAM: Cordova S. (Knee Injury) Macias J. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Atlas: Zaldivar E. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for UNAM: Angulo A. (Knee Injury) Calderon C. (Injury) Huerta Valera C. S. (Lower Back Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Atlas has recorded 3 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:27 (averaging 0.7:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Atlas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 6:11 goals (averaging 0.7:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Atlas	11	5	3	3	17:18	-1	18
13	UNAM Pumas	10	3	3	4	14:16	-2	12

Last Results with these Odds

UNAM - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.78%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlas
Mexican Liga MX
12.09.26	Toluca - Atlas	5:2 ✺
05.09.26	Atlas - Atlante	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Atlas - Querétaro	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Cruz Azul - Atlas	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Atlas - Tigres UANL	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LTLWW
- UNAM Pumas
Mexican Liga MX
13.09.26	Chivas Guadalajara - UNAM	3:0 ✺
10.09.26	UNAM - Club León	3:1 ✺
28.08.26	Tijuana - UNAM	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	UNAM - Necaxa	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	UNAM - Querétaro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
07.02.26	Atlas - UNAM	2:2
31.08.25	UNAM - Atlas	1:0
26.01.25	UNAM - Atlas	0:0
24.08.24	Atlas - UNAM	2:1
14.02.24	Atlas - UNAM	0:0
05.11.23	UNAM - Atlas	3:0
05.02.23	UNAM - Atlas	2:2

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