Match Info

CONCACAF Champions Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Cementos Progreso (Guatemala City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Mexico	FOX One
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Peru	Disney+
South-america	ViX Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, TUDN App, TUDN
Venezuela	Disney+


	Xelajú		Monterrey

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.33	1.45	Watch
	6.1	4.15	1.46	Watch
	6.83	4.2	1.5
	6.30	3.73	1.54	Watch
	6	3.8	1.44
	7.05	4.05	1.46	Watch
	7	4	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.54 ↑ (5.53)	4.04 ↑ (3.87)	1.48 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xelajú
14.2%

Draw
23%

Monterrey
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

23.8%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

23.4%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xelajú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Xelajú - Monterrey Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Xelajú will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Monterrey will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monterrey: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Monterrey will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva D. (C) 14. Gonzalez J. 4. Romero M. 25. Ruiz K. 12. Quiros D. 7. Diaz Y. 77. Longo J. 16. Cardona J. 23. Calderon R. 10. Lopez A. 11. Cardenas S.	25. Mele S. (G) 14. Aguirre E. 33. Medina S. (C) 34. Bustos C. 21. Reyes L. 30. Rodriguez J. 38. Rojas A. 11. Orellano L. 35. Fimbres I. 29. Ocampos L. 39. Moxica J.
Substitutes
26. Cardoza E. 18. Castaneda J. 6. de Leon M. 30. de Leon O. 9. Escobar J. 70. Jaen Y. 22. Lobos N. (G) 24. Marquez R. 17. Ochaeta D. 20. Quezada Gamez H. E. 90. Quinonez O. 13. Tebalan W.	19. Aceves A. 5. Ambriz F. 3. Arteaga G. 22. Cardenas L. (G) 2. Chavez R. 17. Corona J. 40. Cuneo K. (G) 27. de la Rosa R. 9. Martial A. 37. Reyes C. 8. Torres O.
Coaches
Hernandez R.	Torrent D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Medina S. ↓, Aceves A. ↑,
46', Longo J. ↓, Tebalan W. ↑,
59', Rojas A. ↓, de la Rosa R. ↑,
60', Ocampos L. ↓, Corona J. ↑,
71', Cardenas S. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
71', Diaz Y. ↓, Jaen Y. ↑,
71', Cardona J. ↓, Cardoza E. ↑,
73', Rodriguez J. ↓, Martial A. ↑,
73', Orellano L. ↓, Ambriz F. ↑,
83', 1 - 0, Escobar J. ⚽, Gonzalez J. (A),
84', Escobar J. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 1, Corona J. ⚽, de la Rosa R. (A),

Preview

1st leg.

Xelajú has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Monterrey is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Monterrey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Monterrey is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Xelajú won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Xelajú won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Xelajú
Guatemala Liga Nacional
31.01.26	Xelajú - Comunicaciones	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Municipal - Xelajú	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Antigua GFC - Xelajú	1:1 ✺
20.01.26	Xelajú - Aurora	4:0 ✺
11.12.25	Antigua GFC - Xelajú	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLTWL
- CF Monterrey
Mexican Liga MX
31.01.26	Monterrey - Tijuana	2:2 ✺
16.01.26	Mazatlan - Monterrey	1:5 ✺
13.01.26	Necaxa - Monterrey	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Monterrey - Toluca	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.01.26	Atlas - Monterrey	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Champions Cup
12.03.13	Monterrey - Xelajú	1:1
06.03.13	Xelajú - Monterrey	1:3

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