The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UNAM 19.8%
Draw 20.9%
Pachuca 59.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.8%
23.1%
52.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.2%
22.6%
53.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pachuca's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pachuca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
UNAM - Pachuca Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. UNAM (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Toledo W. (G) 22. Becerril K. 11. Bolanos N. 13. Chavero P. 14. Davila J. 30. Gonzalez M. 16. Guerrero A. 12. Hix A. 26. Huerta A. 3. Mendoza A. 10. Torres C.
1. Barreras E. (G) 25. Aline Gomes 9. Corral V. (C) 48. Fragoso Garcia A. A. 45. Ibarra B. 30. Ihezuo C. 8. Minota Y. 6. Nieto K. 3. Ohale O. 19. Pereira A. 2. Robles K.
Substitutes
17. Aguirre Guillemin A. 4. Alvarado M. 18. Bonilla W. 21. Delgado F. 24. Diaz N. 6. Dorantes A. 28. Flores S. 27. Gonzalez Vite H. K. (G) 2. Ramirez K. 67. Ugalde N.
12. Becerra S. 15. Caicedo K. 26. Garcia Ramirez M. P. 13. Godinez A. 22. Lopes C. (G) 47. Martinez A. 14. Mauleon M. 10. Nicosia N. 28. Valadez Alvidrez J. Y. 21. Vance M.
Coaches
Medina R.
Torres O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Fragoso Garcia A. A. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Hix A. ⚽,
45+1', Ihezuo C. ↓, Nicosia N. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ibarra B. ↓, Caicedo K. ↑,
46', Fragoso Garcia A. A. ↓, Garcia Ramirez M. P. ↑,
57', Torres C. ↓, Diaz N. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Aline Gomes ⚽,
70', Bolanos N. ↓, Flores S. ↑,
70', Gonzalez M. ↓, Bonilla W. ↑,
82', Ohale O. ↓, Godinez A. ↑,
82', Huerta A. ↓, Dorantes A. ↑,
82', Guerrero A. ↓, Ramirez K. ↑,
84', Davila J. 🟨,
85', Aline Gomes ↓, Vance M. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 0.
UNAM has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Pachuca is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Pachuca is a strong favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:33. (average 0.8:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.7:1.6).