Match Info

Liga MX Women - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Caliente (Tijuana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX One


	Tijuana		UNAM

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.37
	2.35	3.5	2.48
	2.5	3.83	2.48
	2.48	3.79	2.48	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.4
	2.37	3.66	2.67
	2.6	3.5	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.59)	3.57 ↑ (3.51)	2.45 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tijuana
37.3%

Draw
25.5%

UNAM
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

25.6%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

24.7%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+4%)

Tijuana - UNAM Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paz A. (G) 3. Enrigue J. (C) 24. Fong M. 11. Fuentes D. 21. Hernandez I. 6. Ibarra C. 8. Marroquin A. M. 17. Motau A. 4. Ojeda D. 28. Quintos B. 13. Sandoval Trejo D. G.	1. Toledo W. (G) 11. Bolanos N. 13. Chavero P. 24. Diaz N. 28. Flores S. 15. Gaynor C. 30. Gonzalez M. 12. Hix A. 3. Mendoza A. 7. Ribeiro S. (C) 10. Torres C.
Substitutes
22. Bautista E. 52. Caudillo D. 12. Ceja K. 34. Chagolla B. 25. Cota R. (G) 2. Diaz K. 62. Granado E. 10. Hancar K. 18. Martinez N. 27. Parra L.	22. Becerril K. 18. Bonilla W. 14. Davila J. 21. Delgado F. 16. Guerrero A. 26. Huerta A. 20. Lopez J. (G)
Coaches
Samayoa F.	Medina R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Ibarra C. ⚽,
14', Sandoval Trejo D. G. ↓, Chagolla B. ↑,
16', Ribeiro S. 🟨,
19', 1 - 1, Hix A. ⚽,
37', Gaynor C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Ojeda D. 🟨,
61', Hernandez I. ↓, Hancar K. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Fuentes D. ⚽,
80', Diaz N. ↓, Bonilla W. ↑,
89', Bonilla W. 🟨,
90', Fuentes D. ↓, Ceja K. ↑,
90', Motau A. ↓, Martinez N. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', Chavero P. ↓, Guerrero A. ↑,
90+3', Flores S. ↓, Huerta A. ↑,
90+6', Gaynor C. 🟥,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 2.

In recent matches, Tijuana has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

UNAM is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.9:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Tijuana Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
12.03.26	Pachuca - Tijuana	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Tijuana - Club León	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Tijuana - Cruz Azul	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Santos Laguna - Tijuana	2:2 ✺
06.02.26	Monterrey - Tijuana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWTTL
- UNAM Pumas Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
12.03.26	Toluca - UNAM	4:2 ✺
20.02.26	UNAM - Tigres UANL	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Juárez - UNAM	1:1 ✺
09.02.26	UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara	1:0 ✺
05.02.26	Atlas - UNAM	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
25.08.25	UNAM - Tijuana	1:0
17.03.25	UNAM - Tijuana	1:0
15.09.24	Tijuana - UNAM	5:1
02.03.24	UNAM - Tijuana	3:3
16.08.23	Tijuana - UNAM	3:2
11.02.23	UNAM - Tijuana	0:1
19.08.22	Tijuana - UNAM	4:1

Tijuana - UNAM: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide