Match Info

NICARAGUA: LIGA PRIMERA - CLAUSURA - ROUND 15

Date: 12 April 2023, Wednesday


	UNAN Managua		Juventus Managua

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	3.6
	2.06	3.05	3.43
	1.84	3.7	3.68	Watch
	1.84	3.7	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.18)	3.49 ↑ (3.22)	3.59 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UNAN Managua
48.4%

Draw
26.2%

Juventus Managua
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

28.3%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

28.2%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UNAN Managua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UNAN Managua's performance.

Juventus Managua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAN Managua than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UNAN Managua that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus Managua than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

UNAN Managua - Juventus Managua Predictions

Users Predictions: UNAN Managua will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches UNAN Managua won 3.

Recent matches UNAN Managua is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Juventus is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match UNAN Managua is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches UNAN Managua won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 27-23.

Including matches at home between the teams UNAN Managua won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UNAN Managua
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
05.04.23	Sport Sébaco - UNAN Managua	1:2 ✺
01.04.23	UNAN Managua - Deportivo Ocotal	2:4 ✺
26.03.23	Municipal Jalapa - UNAN Managua	0:0 ✺
17.03.23	UNAN Managua - Diriangén	2:2 ✺
10.03.23	Walter Ferretti - UNAN Managua	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLTTL
- Juventus Managua
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
05.04.23	Juventus Managua - Real Estelí	0:7 ✺
02.04.23	Diriangén - Juventus Managua	1:0 ✺
25.03.23	Juventus Managua - Matagalpa	2:2 ✺
18.03.23	Juventus Managua - Managua	2:1 ✺
10.03.23	Sport Sébaco - Juventus Managua	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
16.02.23	Juventus Managua - UNAN Managua	0:4
30.10.22	Juventus Managua - UNAN Managua	2:1
11.08.22	UNAN Managua - Juventus Managua	2:1
01.05.22	Juventus Managua - UNAN Managua	1:3
10.03.22	UNAN Managua - Juventus Managua	1:2
21.11.21	Juventus Managua - UNAN Managua	1:2
26.09.21	UNAN Managua - Juventus Managua	1:1

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