Match Info

NICARAGUA: LIGA PRIMERA - CLAUSURA - ROUND 14

Date: 5 April 2023, Wednesday


	Juventus Managua		Real Estelí

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.2	1.4
	6.75	4.33	1.36
	6.5	3.95	1.36
	5.16	4.16	1.49
	7.4	4.65	1.36
	7	4.5	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.55 ↓ (6.57)	4.3 ↑ (3.52)	1.39 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventus Managua
13.8%

Draw
21.1%

Real Estelí
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14%

26%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.9%

25.7%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventus Managua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Real Estelí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Estelí's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus Managua than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Estelí than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Juventus Managua - Real Estelí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Juventus won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Real Estelí is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 26 head-to-head matches Juventus won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 20 matches and goals 19-61.

Including matches at home between the teams Juventus won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 11-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventus Managua
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
02.04.23	Diriangén - Juventus Managua	1:0 ✺
25.03.23	Juventus Managua - Matagalpa	2:2 ✺
18.03.23	Juventus Managua - Managua	2:1 ✺
10.03.23	Sport Sébaco - Juventus Managua	4:3 ✺
04.03.23	Juventus Managua - Deportivo Ocotal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTWLW
- Real Estelí
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
02.04.23	Real Estelí - Walter Ferretti	2:2 ✺
26.03.23	Sport Sébaco - Real Estelí	3:0 ✺
18.03.23	Deportivo Ocotal - Real Estelí	2:2 ✺
09.03.23	Real Estelí - Municipal Jalapa	3:1 ✺
04.03.23	Real Estelí - Matagalpa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
11.02.23	Real Estelí - Juventus Managua	1:0
26.10.22	Real Estelí - Juventus Managua	2:1
07.08.22	Juventus Managua - Real Estelí	0:0
06.04.22	Juventus Managua - Real Estelí	0:3
12.02.22	Real Estelí - Juventus Managua	2:1
20.10.21	Real Estelí - Juventus Managua	3:0
21.08.21	Juventus Managua - Real Estelí	1:3

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