Match Info

MALI: PREMIERE DIVISION - ROUND 8

Date: 25 January 2024, Thursday


	USC Kita		Stade Malien

	1	X	2
	4.1	2.65	1.98
	4.26	2.54	2.04
	4.75	3	1.75
	4.3	2.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↓ (4.63)	2.74 ↓ (3.08)	1.94 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USC Kita
20.7%

Draw
32.9%

Stade Malien
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

29.6%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

28.9%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USC Kita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Stade Malien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USC Kita than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Malien than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stade Malien could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches USC Kita won 0.

Recent matches USC Kita is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stade Malien is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently USC Kita have a series of guest games.

In this match Stade Malien is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches USC Kita won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-12.

Including matches at home between the teams USC Kita won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USC Kita
Malian Première Division
21.01.24	Bougouba - USC Kita	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Bougouni - USC Kita	0:0 ✺
05.01.24	USC Kita - Djoliba	0:2 ✺
27.12.23	Koro - USC Kita	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	USFAS Bamako - USC Kita	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WTLLT
- Stade Malien
Malian Première Division
21.01.24	Stade Malien - Bakaridjan	0:2 ✺
14.01.24	Real Bamako - Stade Malien	0:1 ✺
10.01.24	Bougouba - Stade Malien	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	Stade Malien - AS Police de Bamako	1:0 ✺
03.01.24	Stade Malien - Bougouni	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
28.05.23	USC Kita - Stade Malien	0:0
04.12.22	Stade Malien - USC Kita	2:1
03.07.22	Stade Malien - USC Kita	4:1
28.03.21	Stade Malien - USC Kita	0:0
02.02.20	Stade Malien - USC Kita	2:1
13.05.17	Stade Malien - USC Kita	4:0

USC Kita - Stade Malien: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide