Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 27

Date: 26 February 2024, Monday

Location: AFAS Trainingscomplex (Wijdewormer)

Referee: Hardeman T. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Jong AZ Alkmaar		NAC Breda

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	2.05	Watch
	2.95	3.5	2.1
	3.2	3.6	2.15	Watch
	3.15	3.6	2.23
	3.29	3.68	2.18
	3.1	3.5	2.05
	3.16	3.62	2.12	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (3.17)	3.56 ↓ (3.57)	2.12 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong AZ Alkmaar
29.4%

Draw
26.3%

NAC Breda
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

25.9%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

26%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	30%	30%

Jong AZ Alkmaar - NAC Breda Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Breda will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jong AZ: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Deen D. (G) 2. Kasius D. 3. Penetra 4. Dekker M. 5. Esteves G. 6. Postma L. 8. Stam F. 7. Kewal R. 10. Koster N. 11. Poku E. 9. Zeefuik L.	1. Kortsmit R. (G) 2. Lucassen B. 15. Martina C. (C) 5. Van den Bergh J. 21. Royo M. 20. Jensen F. 6. Staring C. 11. Sejdiu P. 22. Omgba A. 39. Janosek D. 10. Omarsson E.
Substitutes
22. Berkhout J. 15. Buurmeester J. . Engel M. 17. Gerold J. 16. Kabba A. (G) 21. Kalisvaart J. 20. Kerssens T. 12. van Aken J.	23. Besselink R. 19. Boere T. 28. de Wijs S. 9. Haugen S. 14. Kaied A. 3. Koscelnik M. 49. Troost T. (G) 25. Valerius C. 36. van de Merbel P. (G) 35. van Schuppen B. 31. Wernersson V.
Coaches
Echteld L.	van Gastel J.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jong AZ won 1.

Jong AZ is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Breda is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Jong AZ could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Breda will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Jong AZ: Westerveld S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Breda: Vet J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Jong AZ: Schouten L. (Injury) Twisk N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Breda: Leemans C. (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Jong AZ won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 11-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Jong AZ won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.02.24	Den Bosch - Jong AZ Alkmaar	0:0 ✺
12.02.24	Jong Utrecht - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:2 ✺
05.02.24	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Roda	1:0 ✺
26.01.24	Groningen - Jong AZ Alkmaar	4:1 ✺
22.01.24	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Dordrecht	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWWLW
- NAC Breda
Dutch Eerste Divisie
19.02.24	NAC Breda - Cambuur	1:2 ✺
16.02.24	Telstar - NAC Breda	1:1 ✺
09.02.24	NAC Breda - FC Eindhoven	2:2 ✺
02.02.24	NAC Breda - De Graafschap	0:0 ✺
26.01.24	Helmond Sport - NAC Breda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
18.08.23	NAC Breda - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:1
27.01.23	NAC Breda - Jong AZ Alkmaar	5:1
07.10.22	Jong AZ Alkmaar - NAC Breda	4:0
21.02.22	Jong AZ Alkmaar - NAC Breda	0:2
15.10.21	NAC Breda - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:0
08.03.21	Jong AZ Alkmaar - NAC Breda	2:3
29.08.20	NAC Breda - Jong AZ Alkmaar	6:1

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