Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 29

Date: 8 March 2024, Friday

Location: Sportcomplex De Toekomst (Ouder-Amstel)

Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)


	Jong Ajax		NAC Breda

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.75	2.05	Watch
	3	3.7	2
	3.1	4	2.05	Watch
	3.25	4.01	2.11
	3.25	4.01	2.1
	3	3.7	2
	3.16	3.88	2.04	Watch
	3.05	3.7	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↓ (3.2)	3.84 ↓ (3.9)	2.05 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong Ajax
29.9%

Draw
24.3%

NAC Breda
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

24%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

23.3%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Jong Ajax - NAC Breda Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Breda will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Setford T. (G) 5. Martha A. 4. Janse D. 3. Brandes J. (C) 2. Gaaei A. 8. Agougil O. 6. Vos S. 10. Chourak N. 11. Kalokoh D. 9. Rijkhoff J. 7. Banel J.	1. Kortsmit R. (G) 2. Lucassen B. 15. Martina C. (C) 5. Van den Bergh J. 21. Royo M. 20. Jensen F. 6. Staring C. 11. Sejdiu P. 22. Omgba A. 39. Janosek D. 10. Omarsson E.
Substitutes
16. Chahid R. 12. de Graaff T. (G) 17. Godts M. 19. Gorter O. 18. Henry A. 15. Sarfo R. 20. Speksnijder R.	23. Besselink R. 7. Garbett M. 9. Haugen S. 3. Koscelnik M. 17. Kuijpers R. 27. Marijnissen T. 49. Troost T. (G) 25. Valerius C. 36. van de Merbel P. (G) 35. van Schuppen B.
Coaches
Vos D.	van Gastel J.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jong Ajax won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Breda will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Jong Ajax: Avila G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Breda: Vet J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Boerhout Y. (Knock) Jermoumi D. (Knee Injury) van Axel Dongen A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Breda: Leemans C. (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Jong Ajax won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 28-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Jong Ajax won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie
01.03.24	ADO Den Haag - Jong Ajax	2:1 ✺
26.02.24	Jong Ajax - Telstar	0:3 ✺
16.02.24	FC Oss - Jong Ajax	2:1 ✺
12.02.24	Jong Ajax - MVV Maastricht	3:0 ✺
05.02.24	Jong Utrecht - Jong Ajax	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLWW
- NAC Breda
Dutch Eerste Divisie
01.03.24	NAC Breda - Jong Utrecht	3:1 ✺
26.02.24	Jong AZ Alkmaar - NAC Breda	2:3 ✺
19.02.24	NAC Breda - Cambuur	1:2 ✺
16.02.24	Telstar - NAC Breda	1:1 ✺
09.02.24	NAC Breda - FC Eindhoven	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
10.11.23	NAC Breda - Jong Ajax	1:1
13.03.23	NAC Breda - Jong Ajax	2:6
12.09.22	Jong Ajax - NAC Breda	3:1
01.04.22	NAC Breda - Jong Ajax	0:0
13.09.21	Jong Ajax - NAC Breda	6:3
02.04.21	Jong Ajax - NAC Breda	1:1
02.10.20	NAC Breda - Jong Ajax	4:0

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