Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 37

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday

Location: Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda)

Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	NAC Breda		ADO Den Haag

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.75	3.25
	2.1	3.5	3
	2.1	3.75	3.2
	2.35	3.63	2.95
	2.1	3.84	3.31
	2.1	3.5	3
	2.12	3.7	3.06	Watch
	2	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.36)	3.66 ↑ (3.4)	3.11 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NAC Breda
44.2%

Draw
25.6%

ADO Den Haag
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

27.2%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

26.8%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ADO Den Haag has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NAC Breda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

NAC Breda - ADO Den Haag Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Den Haag will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Breda: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. van de Merbel P. (G) 2. Lucassen B. 15. Martina C. (C) 5. Van den Bergh J. 4. Kemper B. 7. Garbett M. 6. Staring C. 39. Janosek D. 10. Omarsson E. 22. Omgba A. 19. Boere T.	21. Marsman N. (G) 14. Koudossou H. 26. Siereveld G. 18. Esajas S. 34. de Bruin F. 15. Absalem A. 17. Ideho J. 30. Schalk A. 25. Vlak J. 7. van Mieghem D. 9. Veerman H.
Substitutes
9. Haugen S. 20. Jensen F. 3. Koscelnik M. 17. Kuijpers R. 21. Royo M. 25. Valerius C. 37. van Lare A. (G) 35. van Schuppen B. 31. Wernersson V.	20. Boakye R. 28. Coremans T. (G) 35. Does K. 32. Houwaart M. 8. Moreo Klas D. 23. Nikiema K. (G) 12. Payne D. 11. Sellouki M. 5. van Hintum B. 19. van Wolfgang J.
Coaches
van Gastel J.	Kalezic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Esajas S. ⚽, Vlak J. (A),
17', 0 - 2, Veerman H. (Pen),
43', Schalk A. 🟨,
44', Garbett M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lucassen B. ↓, Koscelnik M. ↑,
63', Boere T. ↓, Kuijpers R. ↑,
63', Omarsson E. ↓, Haugen S. ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Omgba A. ⚽,
69', Ideho J. ↓, van Hintum B. ↑,
73', Marsman N. ↓, Coremans T. ↑,
74', de Bruin F. ↓, Moreo Klas D. ↑,
84', van Mieghem D. ↓, Sellouki M. ↑,
85', Garbett M. ↓, van Schuppen B. ↑,
85', Esajas S. ↓, van Wolfgang J. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Haugen S. ⚽, Van den Bergh J. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Breda won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Breda will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Breda: Vet J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Den Haag: Wentges H. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Breda: Leemans C. (Injury)

Last 19 head-to-head matches Breda won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 23-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Breda won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NAC Breda
Dutch Eerste Divisie
28.04.24	NAC Breda - Jong PSV	2:0 ✺
19.04.24	Den Bosch - NAC Breda	2:2 ✺
12.04.24	NAC Breda - Dordrecht	1:4 ✺
07.04.24	Groningen - NAC Breda	1:1 ✺
29.03.24	NAC Breda - MVV Maastricht	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTLTL
- ADO Den Haag
Dutch Eerste Divisie
29.04.24	Jong Utrecht - ADO Den Haag	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	ADO Den Haag - FC Eindhoven	1:1 ✺
12.04.24	ADO Den Haag - Helmond Sport	0:1 ✺
05.04.24	Cambuur - ADO Den Haag	0:2 ✺
29.03.24	ADO Den Haag - Groningen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
15.12.23	ADO Den Haag - NAC Breda	3:1
03.02.23	ADO Den Haag - NAC Breda	2:1
14.10.22	NAC Breda - ADO Den Haag	1:2
Dutch Eredivisie
14.05.22	ADO Den Haag - NAC Breda	2:1
10.05.22	NAC Breda - ADO Den Haag	1:2
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.12.21	ADO Den Haag - NAC Breda	4:1
27.08.21	NAC Breda - ADO Den Haag	3:0

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