Match Info

Date: 22 June 2021, Tuesday


	Ullensaker Kisa		Fredrikstad

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.8	2.3
	2.8	3.75	2.05
	2.7	3.7	2.28	Watch
	2.65	3.6	2.28
	2.82	3.97	2.34
	2.75	3.5	2.25
	2.96	3.92	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (3.29)	3.75 ↓ (3.82)	2.24 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ullensaker Kisa
33.5%

Draw
24.8%

Fredrikstad
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

24.5%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

19.3%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ullensaker Kisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fredrikstad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ullensaker Kisa than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ullensaker Kisa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fredrikstad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.4%	2.9%	64.7%

Ullensaker Kisa - Fredrikstad Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Ull Kisa will win (votes: 11 - 32.4%). Fredrikstad will win (votes: 22 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fredrikstad: 48.6% – 80.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

Recent matches Ull/Kisa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fredrikstad is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Ull/Kisa have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Ull/Kisa won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Ull/Kisa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ullensaker Kisa
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.06.21	Start - Ullensaker Kisa	1:3 ✺
12.06.21	Ullensaker Kisa - Stjørdals-Blink	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.06.21	Mjøndalen - Ullensaker Kisa	3:1 ✺
01.06.21	Raufoss - Ullensaker Kisa	4:4 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
31.05.21	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Ullensaker Kisa	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWLTL
- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.06.21	Fredrikstad - Hamarkameratene	0:1 ✺
12.06.21	Aalesunds - Fredrikstad	2:2 ✺
30.05.21	Fredrikstad - Jerv	4:0 ✺
26.05.21	Sogndal - Fredrikstad	1:2 ✺
20.05.21	Fredrikstad - Sandnes Ulf	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.04.21	Fredrikstad - Ullensaker Kisa	4:1
26.03.18	Fredrikstad - Ullensaker Kisa	2:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.10.17	Fredrikstad - Ullensaker Kisa	1:2
30.04.17	Ullensaker Kisa - Fredrikstad	2:1
Club Friendly
18.02.17	Ullensaker Kisa - Fredrikstad	2:3
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
14.08.16	Fredrikstad - Ullensaker Kisa	5:1
08.05.16	Ullensaker Kisa - Fredrikstad	1:2

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