Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 30

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Fredrikstad		Jerv

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.6	4	4.5
	1.6	4.33	4.5
	1.6	4.13	5.01
	1.58	4.14	5.02
	1.53	4.2	4.33
	1.64	4.5	4.35	Watch
	1.6	4	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.62)	4.19 ↓ (4.43)	4.73 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredrikstad
58.2%

Draw
22.2%

Jerv
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

21.3%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

20.7%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Jerv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	0%	6.2%

Fredrikstad - Jerv Predictions

Users Predictions: Fredrikstad will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jensen H. (G) 26. Nielsen M. 22. Woledzi M. 17. Kvile S. 12. Metcalfe P. 7. Hendriksson B. 19. Magnusson J. (C) 13. Sorlokk S. 4. Molde S. 14. Bjartalid J. 29. Aga O.	20. Ovretveit O. (G) 4. Mutsinzi A. 29. Coly A. 3. Larade L. 5. Sandberg E. 15. Brenden E. 6. Wichmann M. (C) 8. Ugland M. 19. Mafi I. 17. Diabate B. 9. Hustad E.
Substitutes
11. Alba R. 20. Asheim H. 6. Aukland P. 18. Begby L. 2. Bjorkstrom T. 9. Johansen H. 16. Konte A. 25. Langbraten O. (G) 3. Skaret B.	26. Dirdal G. (G) 25. Endresen A. 10. Fernandes L. 7. Hauge R. 16. Krogelien H. 24. Myklebust J. 27. Philibert E. 11. Robalo Pedro S. L. 21. van der Sluys D.
Coaches
Thomassen M.	Bohinen L.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Fredrikstad is Confirmed as champions, Qualified for Eliteserien

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fredrikstad won 1.

Fredrikstad is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jerv is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jerv could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fredrikstad is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Fredrikstad won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Fredrikstad won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
05.11.23	Moss - Fredrikstad	2:2 ✺
29.10.23	Fredrikstad - Mjøndalen	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Sandnes Ulf - Fredrikstad	2:3 ✺
08.10.23	Åsane - Fredrikstad	0:4 ✺
01.10.23	Fredrikstad - Raufoss	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLWWW
- FK Jerv
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
05.11.23	Jerv - Åsane	0:0 ✺
28.10.23	Skeid - Jerv	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Jerv - Kongsvinger	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Ranheim - Jerv	4:2 ✺
30.09.23	Jerv - Sogndal	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
13.05.23	Jerv - Fredrikstad	1:1
28.08.21	Jerv - Fredrikstad	3:2
30.05.21	Fredrikstad - Jerv	4:0
06.08.17	Jerv - Fredrikstad	2:0
16.05.17	Fredrikstad - Jerv	1:1
Club Friendly
28.02.17	Fredrikstad - Jerv	1:3
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
29.08.16	Fredrikstad - Jerv	2:1

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