Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday


	Hoffenheim		Elversberg

	1	X	2
	1.4	5.37	5.96
	1.4	5.5	6.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.39)	5.44 ↓ (5.69)	6.05 ↑ (5.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hoffenheim
67.2%

Draw
17.3%

Elversberg
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

16.5%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.1%

18.1%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Elversberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hoffenheim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-1%)

Hoffenheim - Elversberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	28. Boss T. (G)
	15. Adam R.
	6. Conde A.
	21. Gunther L.
	43. Keidel F.
	3. Le Joncour F.
	14. Malanga J.
	42. Mokwa Ntusu D.
	8. Poreba L.
	31. Rohr M.
	24. Schnellbacher L.
Substitutes
	5. Bala Bindzi C.
	7. Feil M.
	30. Gyamerah J.
	20. Kristof N. (G)
	34. Mahmoud M.
	32. Pantschenko D.
	25. Petkov L.
	16. Pfeiffer L.
	17. Schmahl F.
	. Westrich L.
	29. Zimmerschied T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
2nd Half (2 - 2)

Preview

Hoffenheim has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Elversberg is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Hoffenheim is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 3.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 3.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
20.03.26	RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim	5:0 ✺
14.03.26	Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Heidenheim - Hoffenheim	2:4 ✺
28.02.26	Hoffenheim - St. Pauli	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Köln - Hoffenheim	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTWLT
- SV Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga
21.03.26	Elversberg - Arminia Bielefeld	3:1 ✺
13.03.26	Greuther Fürth - Elversberg	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Elversberg - Magdeburg	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Holstein Kiel - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Elversberg - Eintracht Braunschweig	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.07.25	Hoffenheim - Elversberg	5:2
24.07.24	Elversberg - Hoffenheim	1:3
12.07.23	Hoffenheim - Elversberg	1:2
14.12.22	Hoffenheim - Elversberg	4:3

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