Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 30

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Donaustadion (Ulm)

Referee: Bacher M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Croatia	SportKlub 10
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	SportKlub 10
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 4
World	Onefootball


	Ulm 1846		Hertha Berlin

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.3	2.2	Watch
	3.25	3.5	2.15
	3.25	3.4	2.14	Watch
	3.4	3.5	2.24
	3.19	3.39	2.27	Watch
	3.2	3.3	2.2	Watch
	3.29	3.38	2.21	Watch
	3.25	3.4	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (3.26)	3.4 ↓ (3.42)	2.19 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulm 1846
29%

Draw
27.9%

Hertha Berlin
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

27.5%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

27.6%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulm 1846 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Ulm 1846 aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Ulm 1846 - Hertha Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ulm will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Hertha will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hertha: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hertha Berlin will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thiede N. (G) 4. Gaal T. 32. Strompf P. (C) 27. Kolbe N. 7. Allgeier B. 23. Brandt M. 14. Dressel D. 16. Keller A. 21. Batista Meier O. 30. Krattenmacher M. 29. Telalovic S.	1. Ernst T. (G) 44. Gechter L. 37. Leistner T. (C) 31. Dardai M. 16. Kenny J. 6. Demme D. 42. Zeefuik D. 8. Sessa K. 27. Cuisance M. 39. Scherhant D. 11. Reese F.
Substitutes
11. Chessa D. 6. Geyer T. 38. Hyrylainen L. 22. Kahvic A. 10. Ludwig A. 19. Meier J. 39. Ortag C. (G) 43. Rosch R. 9. Roser L.	5. Bouchalakis A. 20. Dardai P. 35. Gersbeck M. (G) 33. Karbownik M. 7. Niederlechner F. 24. Thorsteinsson J. D. 22. Winkler M.
Coaches
Lechleiter R.	Leitl S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Keller A. ⚽, Krattenmacher M. (A),
21', Zeefuik D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Sessa K. ↓, Thorsteinsson J. D. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Reese F. ⚽, Thorsteinsson J. D. (A),
50', 1 - 2, Reese F. ⚽, Gechter L. (A),
56', 2 - 2, Dressel D. ⚽,
65', Brandt M. ↓, Hyrylainen L. ↑,
65', Hyrylainen L. 🟨,
73', Zeefuik D. ↓, Winkler M. ↑,
76', Scherhant D. ↓, Niederlechner F. ↑,
83', Krattenmacher M. ↓, Roser L. ↑,
83', Telalovic S. ↓, Kahvic A. ↑,
84', 2 - 3, Niederlechner F. ⚽,
85', Cuisance M. ↓, Bouchalakis A. ↑,
86', Gaal T. 🟨,
86', Niederlechner F. 🟨,
90+5', Kenny J. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 12).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Hertha could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hertha will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ulm: Higl F. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Hertha: Brooks J. A. (Ankle Injury) Dudziak J. (Groin Injury) Hussein B. (Ankle Injury) Maza I. (Yellow Cards) Schuler L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Hertha: Klemens P. (Head Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ulm won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulm 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
12.04.25	Ulm 1846 - Magdeburg	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Schalke 04 - Ulm 1846	2:1 ✺
28.03.25	Ulm 1846 - Darmstadt	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Ulm 1846 - 1860 München	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
16.03.25	Karlsruher - Ulm 1846	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLWWT
- Hertha Berlin
German 2 Bundesliga
12.04.25	Hertha Berlin - Darmstadt	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Köln - Hertha Berlin	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Hertha Berlin - Karlsruher	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.03.25	Hertha Berlin - St. Pauli	0:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
16.03.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Hertha Berlin	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
23.11.24	Hertha Berlin - Ulm 1846	2:2

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