Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 28

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Veltins Arena (Gelsenkirchen)

Referee: Benen L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	SportKlub 4
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV3
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3
World	Onefootball


	Schalke 04		Ulm 1846

	1	X	2
	1.8	4.2	3.6	Watch
	1.87	3.7	3.9
	1.86	3.7	3.8	Watch
	1.87	3.88	3.9	Watch
	1.91	3.6	3.8	Watch
	1.85	3.86	3.96	Watch
	1.86	3.7	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.89)	3.81 ↓ (3.88)	3.82 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schalke 04
50.6%

Draw
24.7%

Ulm 1846
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

24.3%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

24%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Schalke 04 - Ulm 1846 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Schalke (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Schalke 04 will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Schalke 04 will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Schalke (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Heekeren J. (G) 17. Gantenbein A. 26. Kalas T. 35. Kaminski M. 30. Donkor A. 6. Schallenberg R. 7. Seguin P. 8. Younes A. 25. Barkok A. 19. Karaman K. 9. Sylla M.	1. Thiede N. (G) 4. Gaal T. 5. Reichert J. 32. Strompf P. 7. Allgeier B. 23. Brandt M. 14. Dressel D. 16. Keller A. 21. Batista Meier O. 9. Roser L. 33. Higl F.
Substitutes
10. Ba P. M. 37. Gruger M. 43. Hong Seok-ju 34. Langer M. (G) 29. Mohr T. 5. Murkin D. J. 2. Sanchez F. 42. Talabidi M. 49. Yusufu F. (G)	11. Chessa D. 22. Kahvic A. 27. Kolbe N. 30. Krattenmacher M. 10. Ludwig A. 19. Meier J. 39. Ortag C. (G) 43. Rosch R. 29. Telalovic S.
Coaches
Van Wonderen K.	Lechleiter R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Higl F. ⚽, Batista Meier O. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 1 - 1, Seguin P. ⚽, Karaman K. (A),
64', Barkok A. ↓, Gruger M. ↑,
64', Younes A. ↓, Ba P. M. ↑,
67', Roser L. ↓, Telalovic S. ↑,
67', Batista Meier O. ↓, Krattenmacher M. ↑,
74', Donkor A. ↓, Murkin D. J. ↑,
74', Sylla M. ↓, Mohr T. ↑,
75', Gantenbein A. 🟨,
81', Ba P. M. 🟨,
83', Higl F. ↓, Kahvic A. ↑,
86', Gantenbein A. 🟨,
88', 2 - 1, Kaminski M. ⚽, Seguin P. (A),
90+1', Strompf P. ↓, Kolbe N. ↑,
90+3', Ba P. M. ↓, Talabidi M. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

Schalke is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ulm is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ulm could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Schalke will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Schalke: Amoussou-Tchibara Z. (Knee Injury) Bayindir A. (Thigh Injury) Bulut T. (Injury) Drexler D. (Suspended) Hamache I. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Hojlund E. (Hamstring Injury) Karius L. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Ulm: Geyer T. (Illness) Hyrylainen L. (Yellow Cards) Stoll L. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Ulm: Ortag C. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Schalke won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga
30.03.25	Greuther Fürth - Schalke 04	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
19.03.25	Schalke 04 - Groningen	1:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
14.03.25	Schalke 04 - Hannover	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Hertha Berlin - Schalke 04	1:2 ✺
28.02.25	Schalke 04 - Preußen Münster	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWLWW
- Ulm 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
28.03.25	Ulm 1846 - Darmstadt	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Ulm 1846 - 1860 München	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
16.03.25	Karlsruher - Ulm 1846	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Ulm 1846 - Köln	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
01.11.24	Ulm 1846 - Schalke 04	0:0
Club Friendly
08.09.23	Ulm 1846 - Schalke 04	2:4
German DFB Pokal
22.12.20	Ulm 1846 - Schalke 04	1:3

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